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Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl • December 19, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Memphis @ NC State
0-0
American
Power Rank: 11.4
7 FINAL 31
0-0
ACC
Power Rank: 8.3

By · Last updated

NC State defeated Memphis 31–7 to secure a comfortable win. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Memphis 3.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM EST
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis +3.1
Prediction Markets NC State 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

46.1°F

Wind Chill: 41.9°F
Wind: 8.9 mph NNW
Gusts: 12.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 55%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Memphis (Away)

This Week: 660.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6487.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:30
Rest Days: 21

NC State (Home)

This Week: 583.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3970.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 20

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line NC State -3.1
Implied value —
Betting
Current line —
Total (O/U) —
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Memphis 11.4
NC State 8.3
Travel impact
Away travel 660 mi
Home travel 583 mi
Rest Memphis +1
Home field — Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 46.1°F
Wind speed 8.9 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Memphis vs NC State?

Memphis: Key Factors

NC State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Memphis travels 660 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Memphis arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

NC State won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

How do Memphis and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Memphis (11.4) over NC State (8.3) by 3.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, NC State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Memphis and NC State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

NC State won this game.