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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Texas State
43
1-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -6.5
@
FINAL
36
UTSA
0-1
American
Power Rank: -3.0

Texas State defeated UTSA 43–36 in a one-score game. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UTSA 3.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Alamodome
Capacity: 64,000
Elevation: 738 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA -3.5
Prediction Markets UTSA 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

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Texas State
UTSA
Home field — Alamodome
Weather: Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Texas State @ UTSA Preview

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Alamodome
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas State (Away)

This Week: 46.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 46.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 6

UTSA (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 304.5 miles
Season Total: 304.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Texas State vs UTSA?

Texas State: Key Factors

Brad Jackson's Dominant Performance

Brad Jackson accounted for five touchdowns and 393 total yards, completing 20 of 26 passes for 280 yards and two scores while rushing for 113 yards and three touchdowns. This level of production suggests he is a key offensive weapon for Texas State moving forward.

Strong Second Half Surge

Texas State scored 28 points in the second half to pull away from South Alabama, demonstrating their ability to adjust and dominate after halftime. This resilience could be crucial in close games.

Special Teams Impact

Jaylen Jenkins returned a kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown, which sealed the game and highlighted Texas State's special teams as a potential game-changer. This could be a factor in future matchups.

Balanced Offensive Attack

The Bobcats had success both through the air and on the ground, with Jackson's rushing and passing combined with Chris Dawn Jr.'s 154 receiving yards. This balance makes them difficult to defend.

Defensive Interception Sets Up Score

Jaden Rios recorded an interception in the third quarter, leading to a 50-yard touchdown pass from Jackson to Sparks. This turnover created momentum and shows the defense's ability to create scoring opportunities.

UTSA: Key Factors

Late Rally Falls Short

UTSA rallied from a 20-10 deficit with two fourth-quarter touchdown passes from Owen McCown to take a 24-20 lead, but Army responded with a game-winning drive, and UTSA's final drive ended on downs.

Historic Home Streak Snapped

The loss ended UTSA's FBS-best streak of 25 straight home wins against conference opponents, a significant psychological and statistical blow heading into their next game.

McCown's Efficiency and Key Mistakes

Owen McCown completed 27 of 40 passes for 266 yards and two touchdowns, but his interception returned for a touchdown by Army was a critical turning point, and the offense failed to convert on the final drive.

Defensive Struggles Against the Run

UTSA allowed Army to rush for 127 yards by Noah Short and 90 by Cale Hellums, and gave up a 73-yard pick-six, highlighting vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit.

Creative Offense Not Enough

UTSA used a trick play (WR David Amador II throwing a TD pass) and had success through the air, but the inability to stop Army's ground game and the pick-six proved decisive.

What happened in the game?

Texas State travels 47 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Texas State won by 7 in a one-score game.

How do Texas State and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTSA (-3.0) over Texas State (-6.5) by 3.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTSA brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas State and UTSA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas State won this game.