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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Troy
16
1-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -6.3
@
FINAL
27
Clemson
0-1
ACC
Power Rank: 8.4

Clemson defeated Troy 27–16 in a double-digit victory. Troy covered by 21.5; Game went Under by 8.5.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Capacity: 81,500
Elevation: 709 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Clemson -32.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Odds Implied Score TROY 9.5 - 42.0 CLEM
Power Rank Implied Line Clemson -14.7
Prediction Markets Clemson 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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Your line Clemson +14.7
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Troy
Clemson
Home field — Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Troy @ Clemson Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

31.0°F

Wind Chill: 23.8°F
Wind: 7.8 mph WSW
Gusts: 16.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 78%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Troy (Away)

This Week: 267.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1483.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Clemson (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 230.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Troy vs Clemson?

Troy: Key Factors

Quarterback Crowder's Efficiency

Goose Crowder completed 24 of 34 passes for 285 yards and three touchdowns, including a 75-yard strike to RaRa Thomas, showing he can lead the offense effectively.

Balanced Offensive Attack

Troy had a balanced offense with Crowder's passing (285 yards) and Tae Meadows' rushing (94 yards, one TD), keeping Southern Miss's defense off balance.

Defensive Resilience

Despite allowing a fumble recovery for a touchdown, Troy's defense held Southern Miss to 18 points and forced a key interception, limiting the Golden Eagles' scoring opportunities.

Momentum from Consecutive Wins

Troy ended the regular season with two straight wins, improving to 8-4 overall and 6-2 in conference play, building positive momentum heading into their next game.

Clemson: Key Factors

Defensive Resilience and Turnovers

Clemson's defense forced two interceptions from South Carolina's quarterback LaNorris Sellers, including a pick-six by Ricardo Jones, and recorded five sacks. This defensive performance was crucial in securing the 28-14 victory and demonstrates the unit's ability to create game-changing plays.

Offensive Balance and Key Contributions

Cade Klubnik threw for 268 yards and ran for a touchdown, while Adam Randall rushed for 102 yards and a score. The offense executed long touchdown drives of 78 and 85 yards, showing balance and efficiency that will be important for bowl preparation.

Momentum from Four-Game Winning Streak

Clemson closed the regular season with four straight wins after a 3-5 start, mirroring their 2023 finish. This late-season surge builds confidence and momentum heading into their bowl game, despite falling short of preseason ACC title expectations.

Bowl Destination and Motivation

The Tigers are bowl-eligible but will not reach the high-profile games they anticipated. The team's ability to rally and finish strong suggests they will be motivated to extend their winning streak and end the season on a positive note.

What happened in the game?

Troy travels 268 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Troy arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Clemson won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Troy covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)?

At 31.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Troy and Clemson compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Clemson (8.4) over Troy (-6.3) by 14.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Clemson brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Troy and Clemson?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Clemson won and Troy covered the spread.