14
Final
28
9
Final
20
7
Final
42
14
Final
51
7
Final
38
31
Final
35
45
Final
19
9
Final
56
24
Final
34
0
Final
34
20
Final
27
13
Final
16
14
Final
62
48
Final
45
0
Final
66
17
Final
45
3
Final
77
22
Final
44
10
Final
42
7
Final
55
22
Final
32
31
Final
42
0
Final
70
36
Final
27
12
Final
59
43
Final
36
13
Final
20
6
Final
45
24
Final
38
16
Final
27
30
Final
23
7
Final
31
20
Final
34
17
Final
72
27
Final
26
6
Final
28
33
Final
30
3
Final
69
17
Final
45
7
Final
31
10
Final
17
10
Final
42
18
Final
16
20
Final
38
17
Final
20
14
Final
56
21
Final
20
6
Final
54
3
Final
56
14
Final
56
9
Final
63
3
Final
35
33
Final
31
24
Final
21
21
Final
45
17
Final
21
38
Final
16
20
Final
3
7
Final
68
10
Final
38
3
Final
45
35
Final
9
28
Final
23
40
Final
42
20
Final
59
13
Final
24
0
Final
68
44
Final
20
0
Final
13
17
Final
34
7
Final
23
20
Final
24
3
Final
42
0
Final
73
23
Final
30
10
Final
34
14
Final
21
17
Final
42
3
Final
48
13
Final
36
3
Final
27
10
Final
70
20
Final
37
Hawai'i defeated Sam Houston 37–20 to secure a comfortable win.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team

73.8°F
Sam Houston took a 10-0 lead in the first quarter with a field goal and a 54-yard touchdown pass, but could not maintain the momentum, allowing Middle Tennessee to tie the game before halftime and eventually take control.
After the initial lead, the Bearkats' offense stalled, scoring only a late touchdown after the game was decided. Quarterback Landyn Locke threw for 281 yards and two touchdowns but also had a costly interception.
The defense allowed Middle Tennessee to rally from a 10-0 deficit, giving up 31 points including a 77-yard drive and a 33-yard touchdown run by the quarterback, highlighting issues in containing mobile quarterbacks and sustaining pressure.
The Bearkats relied heavily on passing, with Locke attempting 40 passes, while the running game was not a significant factor, limiting their ability to control the clock and keep the defense off the field.
With the loss, Sam Houston falls to 2-9 overall and 1-6 in conference play, eliminating any chance of a bowl game and ending their season on a disappointing note after a promising start.
Hawaii's offense showed balance with QB Micah Alejado throwing for 289 yards and 2 TDs, including a 78-yard bomb to Jackson Harris, while RB Cam Barfield added 77 rushing yards and a 41-yard TD. This dual-threat capability will be key for future games.
Kicker Kansei Matsuzawa tied FBS and MWC records with 26 consecutive field goals made, but missed a 30-yard attempt late in the third quarter. While historically reliable, the miss could be a mental hurdle for next week.
After allowing a pick-six on the opening drive, Hawaii's defense shut out Wyoming for the remainder of the game. This ability to adjust and dominate defensively bodes well for upcoming matchups.
Hawaii finished the regular season 8-4 (5-3 MWC) with a convincing home win. The team's momentum and confidence, especially on offense, should carry into their next game.
Sam Houston travels 3,880 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.
Sam Houston arrives with a 5-hour body clock disadvantage.
Hawai'i won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.
Precipitation chance is 70%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Hawai'i (-8.2) over Sam Houston (-23.3) by 15.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Hawai'i brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Hawai'i won this game.