Week 2 • September 07, 2025, 03:59 AM UTC
20
0-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -23.3
@
FINAL
37
1-1
MW
Power Rank: -8.2

Hawai'i defeated Sam Houston 37–20 to secure a comfortable win.

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:59 PM HST
Stadium: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity: 16,909
Elevation: 75 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Hawai'i -15.1
Prediction Markets Hawai'i 73% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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Sam Houston
Hawai'i
Home field — Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Weather: Patchy rain nearby
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Sam Houston @ Hawai'i Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Patchy rain nearby

Patchy rain nearby

73.8°F

Feels Like: 77.4°F
Wind: 14.1 mph SW
Gusts: 20.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.06"
Humidity: 79%
Rain Chance: 70%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Sam Houston (Away)

This Week: 3880.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5235.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 22:59
Rest Days: 8

Hawai'i (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: 5936.8 miles
Season Total: 5936.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:59
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Sam Houston vs Hawai'i?

Sam Houston: Key Factors

Slow Start Not Enough

Sam Houston took a 10-0 lead in the first quarter with a field goal and a 54-yard touchdown pass, but could not maintain the momentum, allowing Middle Tennessee to tie the game before halftime and eventually take control.

Offensive Struggles in Second Half

After the initial lead, the Bearkats' offense stalled, scoring only a late touchdown after the game was decided. Quarterback Landyn Locke threw for 281 yards and two touchdowns but also had a costly interception.

Defensive Lapses

The defense allowed Middle Tennessee to rally from a 10-0 deficit, giving up 31 points including a 77-yard drive and a 33-yard touchdown run by the quarterback, highlighting issues in containing mobile quarterbacks and sustaining pressure.

Lack of Run Game

The Bearkats relied heavily on passing, with Locke attempting 40 passes, while the running game was not a significant factor, limiting their ability to control the clock and keep the defense off the field.

Playoff Hopes Dashed

With the loss, Sam Houston falls to 2-9 overall and 1-6 in conference play, eliminating any chance of a bowl game and ending their season on a disappointing note after a promising start.

Hawai'i: Key Factors

Offensive Balance and Explosive Plays

Hawaii's offense showed balance with QB Micah Alejado throwing for 289 yards and 2 TDs, including a 78-yard bomb to Jackson Harris, while RB Cam Barfield added 77 rushing yards and a 41-yard TD. This dual-threat capability will be key for future games.

Kicking Game Reliability and a Rare Miss

Kicker Kansei Matsuzawa tied FBS and MWC records with 26 consecutive field goals made, but missed a 30-yard attempt late in the third quarter. While historically reliable, the miss could be a mental hurdle for next week.

Defensive Resilience After Early Setback

After allowing a pick-six on the opening drive, Hawaii's defense shut out Wyoming for the remainder of the game. This ability to adjust and dominate defensively bodes well for upcoming matchups.

Strong Home Performance and Momentum

Hawaii finished the regular season 8-4 (5-3 MWC) with a convincing home win. The team's momentum and confidence, especially on offense, should carry into their next game.

What happened in the game?

Sam Houston travels 3,880 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Sam Houston arrives with a 5-hour body clock disadvantage.

Hawai'i won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Does weather affect this game at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex?

Precipitation chance is 70%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Sam Houston and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Hawai'i (-8.2) over Sam Houston (-23.3) by 15.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Hawai'i brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Hawai'i won this game.