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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Florida International
0
1-0
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.2
@
FINAL
34
Penn State
1-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 12.5

Penn State defeated Florida International 34–0 in a dominant performance. Florida International covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 20.5.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Beaver Stadium
Capacity: 106,572
Elevation: 1178 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Penn State -42.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Odds Implied Score FIU 6.0 - 48.5 PSU
Power Rank Implied Line Penn State -28.7
Prediction Markets Penn State 99% Win Chance (Kalshi)

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Florida International
Penn State
Home field — Beaver Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Florida International @ Penn State Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

22.6°F

Wind Chill: 14.2°F
Wind: 7.4 mph SW
Gusts: 9.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 84%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Florida International (Away)

This Week: 1047.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1047.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 8

Penn State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 358.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Florida International vs Penn State?

Florida International: Key Factors

Dominant Offensive Performance

FIU amassed 594 total yards, with QB Keyone Jenkins throwing for 291 yards and 3 TDs, and rushing for another. The running game also excelled, with Kejon Owens (124 yards) and Joseph Sterling (112 yards, 2 TDs) each surpassing 100 yards.

Explosive Passing Attack

Jenkins connected with Alex Perry for 140 yards and 2 TDs, and Dallas Payne added 100 yards and a TD on just 4 receptions. This deep threat capability will be a key factor in their bowl game.

Strong Defensive Turnover Margin

FIU forced 4 turnovers (2 interceptions, likely 2 fumbles) while committing none themselves. This +4 turnover differential was crucial in building a 42-10 lead by the fourth quarter.

Four-Game Winning Streak

FIU enters bowl season on a 4-game winning streak, finishing 7-5 overall and 5-3 in Conference USA. This momentum and confidence could be a significant advantage in their upcoming bowl matchup.

Balanced Offensive Attack

The Panthers rushed for over 300 yards as a team while also passing for 291 yards, demonstrating a balanced offense that can adapt to different defensive schemes in the bowl game.

Penn State: Key Factors

Resilient comeback win

Penn State rallied from a 36-33 deficit in the fourth quarter, with a 61-yard fumble return for a touchdown by linebacker Amare Campbell sealing the 40-36 victory. This marks the team's third straight win after a five-game losing streak, showing improved resilience.

Kaytron Allen's career day

Running back Kaytron Allen rushed for a career-high 226 yards and a touchdown, providing a dominant ground game that was crucial in the comeback. His performance highlights a strong rushing attack heading into bowl season.

Nicholas Singleton sets records

Nicholas Singleton broke Saquon Barkley's school records for career rushing touchdowns (45), total touchdowns (55), and all-purpose yards (5,586). His record-setting performance underscores his elite playmaking ability.

Bowl eligibility secured

With the win, Penn State became bowl eligible for the first time since 2020, ending a tumultuous season that included a season-ending injury to QB Drew Allar and the firing of head coach James Franklin. The team awaits its bowl destination.

Defensive playmaking key

The defense forced a critical fumble that was returned for a touchdown, highlighting their ability to create turnovers in clutch moments. This defensive spark was essential in overcoming a high-scoring Rutgers offense.

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 1,048 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Penn State won by 34 in a dominant performance.

Florida International covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 20.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Beaver Stadium?

At 22.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Florida International and Penn State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Penn State (12.5) over Florida International (-16.2) by 28.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida International and Penn State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Penn State won and Florida International covered the spread.