14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
St. Francis (PA)
6
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -36.4
@
FINAL
45
Buffalo
0-1
MAC
Power Rank: -10.6

Buffalo defeated St. Francis (PA) 45–6 in a dominant performance.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: UB Stadium
Capacity: 25,013
Elevation: 600 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Buffalo -25.8
Prediction Markets Buffalo 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Buffalo +25.8
Implied value —
Current line — edit to adjust
Buffalo perspective
Power ratings — edit to adjust
St. Francis (PA)
Buffalo
Home field — UB Stadium
Weather: Heavy snow
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

St. Francis (PA) @ Buffalo Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Heavy snow

Heavy snow

24.8°F

Wind Chill: 13.1°F
Wind: 13.4 mph WSW
Gusts: 20.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

St. Francis (PA) (Away)

This Week: 172.2 miles
Last Week: 1852.3 miles
Season Total: 2368.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 9

Buffalo (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1463.8 miles
Season Total: 1463.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for St. Francis (PA) vs Buffalo?

St. Francis (PA): Key Factors

Offensive Struggles Continue

The Red Flash managed only 126 total yards, with a mere 11 rushing yards, indicating a severe lack of offensive production that must be addressed.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed

Buffalo amassed 503 yards and 32 first downs, highlighting significant defensive gaps that St. Francis needs to shore up to be competitive.

Special Teams and Turnovers Provide Bright Spot

Despite the blowout, Craig Joyner's interception set up the team's only score, showing potential for creating opportunities through turnovers and special teams.

Late Scoring Drive Shows Resilience

Jordan Theodore's 1-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter demonstrated the team's ability to finish drives, a positive takeaway for building momentum.

Buffalo: Key Factors

Dominant Defense and Record Performance

Buffalo's defense was outstanding, holding Bowling Green to just 3 points and 216 total yards. Red Murdock set an NCAA FBS record with his 17th career forced fumble, and the defense forced multiple turnovers, including a fumble recovery returned to the 6-yard line that led to a touchdown.

Special Teams and Offensive Efficiency

Victor Snow's 65-yard punt return for a touchdown early in the third quarter sealed the game. The offense was efficient, with Al-Jay Henderson rushing for 119 yards and a 41-yard TD, and Ta'Quan Roberson throwing for 136 yards, primarily to Nik McMillan (105 yards).

Strong Mid-Season Momentum

With the win, Buffalo improved to 5-4 overall and 4-1 in the MAC, positioning themselves as a contender in the conference. The team's balanced performance on defense, special teams, and offense suggests they are peaking at the right time.

What happened in the game?

St. Francis (PA) travels 172 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Buffalo won by 39 in a dominant performance.

Does weather affect this game at UB Stadium?

At 24.8°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do St. Francis (PA) and Buffalo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Buffalo (-10.6) over St. Francis (PA) (-36.4) by 25.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Buffalo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on St. Francis (PA) and Buffalo?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Buffalo won this game.