Week 2 • September 05, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
9
1-0
MAC
Power Rank: -13.3
@
FINAL
20
1-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 3.0

Maryland defeated Northern Illinois 20–9 in a double-digit victory. Northern Illinois covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 18.5.

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: SECU Stadium
Capacity: 51,802
Elevation: 148 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Maryland -16.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Odds Implied Score NIU 15.5 - 32.0 MD
Power Rank Implied Line Maryland -16.3
Prediction Markets Maryland 88% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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Northern Illinois
Maryland
Home field — SECU Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Northern Illinois @ Maryland Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

24.8°F

Wind Chill: 19.5°F
Wind: 4.5 mph SW
Gusts: 8.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Northern Illinois (Away)

This Week: 655.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 655.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 6

Maryland (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 789.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 6

What are the key factors for Northern Illinois vs Maryland?

Northern Illinois: Key Factors

Early Lead Not Sustained

Northern Illinois jumped to a 10-0 lead in the first quarter with a 43-yard touchdown run and a field goal, but could not maintain momentum, allowing Western Michigan to rally and take control.

Turnover on Downs Critical

After Western Michigan cut the lead to 13-7, Northern Illinois turned the ball over on downs after a six-play, 20-yard drive, which led to a go-ahead touchdown for the Broncos before halftime.

Rushing Attack Limited

Chavon Wright led the ground game with 92 yards on 21 carries, but the team lacked explosive plays after the initial touchdown, and the offense struggled to keep pace with Western Michigan's balanced attack.

Defensive Struggles Against Rushing

The defense allowed Western Michigan to rush for over 300 yards and five touchdowns, with Jalen Buckley and Broc Lowry each scoring multiple times, exposing a weakness that opponents can exploit.

Losing Streak and Conference Farewell

The loss snapped a three-game winning streak in the series and marked the final MAC matchup before Northern Illinois moves to the Mountain West Conference next season, adding emotional weight to the defeat.

Maryland: Key Factors

Fifth straight loss, close margins

Maryland has lost five consecutive games, with four of the last five losses by a combined 18 points, indicating competitiveness but inability to close out games.

Youth and inexperience exposed

Coach Locksley cited the team's youth and inexperience as factors in the tough stretch, with the Terrapins managing only 83 total yards in the second half after a strong start.

Malik Washington's explosive run

Freshman QB Malik Washington rushed for 164 yards on eight carries, including a 73-yard TD on the second play, but the offense struggled to sustain drives thereafter.

Defensive struggles against run

Rutgers' Antwan Raymond rushed for a career-high 240 yards on 41 carries, exposing Maryland's run defense, which will need to improve against Illinois.

Next game at Illinois

Maryland travels to Illinois on Nov. 15, needing to snap the losing streak and address offensive consistency and defensive run-stopping to stay bowl-eligible.

What happened in the game?

Northern Illinois travels 655 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Maryland won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Northern Illinois covered the spread.

The total went Under by 18.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at SECU Stadium?

At 24.8°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Northern Illinois and Maryland compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Maryland (3.0) over Northern Illinois (-13.3) by 16.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Maryland brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Maryland won and Northern Illinois covered the spread.