14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Fresno State
36
1-1
MW
Power Rank: -6.2
@
FINAL
27
Oregon State
0-1
Pac-12
Power Rank: -8.8

Fresno State defeated Oregon State 36–27 in a one-score game. Fresno State covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 14.5.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Reser Stadium
Capacity: 35,548
Elevation: 233 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon State -2.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Odds Implied Score FRES 23.0 - 25.5 ORST
Power Rank Implied Line Fresno State -2.6
Prediction Markets Fresno State 51% Oregon State 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Oregon State -2.6
Implied value —
Current line — edit to adjust
Oregon State perspective
Power ratings — edit to adjust
Fresno State
Oregon State
Home field — Reser Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Fresno State @ Oregon State Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

45.4°F

Wind Chill: 45.6°F
Wind: 2.0 mph NW
Gusts: 4.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 89%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Fresno State (Away)

This Week: 565.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3253.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 6

Oregon State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 664.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 6

What are the key factors for Fresno State vs Oregon State?

Fresno State: Key Factors

Dominant Defense with Five Interceptions

Fresno State's defense forced five interceptions, including two by Simeon Harris, which set up short fields and kept San Jose State's offense off balance. This defensive performance shows a unit capable of creating turnovers, which will be crucial in their bowl game.

Kicking Game Reliability

Dylan Lynch made four field goals (34, 41, 41, and another) in every quarter, providing consistent scoring when drives stalled. His accuracy from range adds a reliable scoring option for the Bulldogs in close games.

Balanced Offensive Attack

E.J. Warner threw for 138 yards and a touchdown, while the running game contributed three touchdowns (Brandon Ramirez, Elijah Gilliam twice). This balance keeps defenses guessing and will be key in bowl preparation.

Turnover Margin and Momentum

Despite one interception thrown by Warner, the Bulldogs won the turnover battle 5-1, directly leading to 14 points off turnovers. Maintaining a positive turnover margin will be critical in their next game.

Bowl Eligibility and Team Confidence

With the win, Fresno State finished 8-4 and secured a bowl berth under first-year coach Matt Entz. The team's strong finish builds momentum and confidence heading into postseason play.

Oregon State: Key Factors

Late quarterback change sparks offense

True freshman Tristan Ti'a took over in the fourth quarter and threw for 141 yards and two touchdowns on 8-of-11 passing, providing a significant boost to a previously stagnant offense.

Rushing defense struggles

Oregon State allowed 227 rushing yards to Tulsa, including 166 yards from Dominic Richardson, indicating a vulnerability that opponents can exploit on the ground.

Receivers show big-play potential

David Wells Jr. and Trent Walker combined for 178 receiving yards and two touchdowns, demonstrating that the passing game can be effective when given opportunities.

Overall offensive inconsistency

Despite the late surge, the Beavers managed only 14 points and were held scoreless for three quarters, highlighting ongoing issues with offensive rhythm and execution.

What happened in the game?

Fresno State travels 565 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Fresno State won by 9 in a one-score game.

Fresno State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do Fresno State and Oregon State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Fresno State (-6.2) over Oregon State (-8.8) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oregon State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oregon State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Fresno State and Oregon State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Fresno State won and Fresno State covered the spread.