14
Final
28
9
Final
20
7
Final
42
14
Final
51
7
Final
38
31
Final
35
45
Final
19
9
Final
56
24
Final
34
0
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34
20
Final
27
13
Final
16
14
Final
62
48
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45
0
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66
17
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45
3
Final
77
22
Final
44
10
Final
42
7
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55
22
Final
32
31
Final
42
0
Final
70
36
Final
27
12
Final
59
43
Final
36
13
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20
6
Final
45
24
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38
16
Final
27
30
Final
23
7
Final
31
20
Final
34
17
Final
72
27
Final
26
6
Final
28
33
Final
30
3
Final
69
17
Final
45
7
Final
31
10
Final
17
10
Final
42
18
Final
16
20
Final
38
17
Final
20
14
Final
56
21
Final
20
6
Final
54
3
Final
56
14
Final
56
9
Final
63
3
Final
35
33
Final
31
24
Final
21
21
Final
45
17
Final
21
38
Final
16
20
Final
3
7
Final
68
10
Final
38
3
Final
45
35
Final
9
28
Final
23
40
Final
42
20
Final
59
13
Final
24
0
Final
68
44
Final
20
0
Final
13
17
Final
34
7
Final
23
20
Final
24
3
Final
42
0
Final
73
23
Final
30
10
Final
34
14
Final
21
17
Final
42
3
Final
48
13
Final
36
3
Final
27
10
Final
70
20
Final
37
App State defeated Lindenwood 20–13 in a one-score game.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team

19.0°F
Lindenwood forced four turnovers (three fumbles, one interception) but failed to capitalize fully, scoring only 13 points. The Lions recovered an onside kick late but couldn't convert on the ensuing drive, highlighting an inability to turn defensive plays into points.
The Lions' offensive line allowed eight sacks, contributing to a net rushing total of minus-1 yard. This severe pressure limited the offense's effectiveness and forced quarterback Nate Glantz into difficult passing situations.
Despite the sacks, Glantz threw for 217 yards and a touchdown, showing ability to move the ball through the air. The late 24-yard touchdown pass to Rico Bond demonstrated potential in the passing game when given time.
Lindenwood's defense held Appalachian State to 20 points despite the Mountaineers gaining 503 yards. The Lions forced four turnovers and kept the game close until the final minutes, indicating a capable defensive unit.
With a negative rushing total, the Lions must establish a ground game to balance the offense and reduce pressure on the quarterback. Improving run blocking will be critical for future success.
App State fell to 5-7, missing bowl eligibility for only the third time in 11 seasons, which could affect team morale and motivation in their final game.
A fourth-down touchdown pass from JJ Kohl to Dillon Galloway was called back due to an illegal formation, forcing a field goal and leaving the door open for Arkansas State's game-winning drive.
Dominic De Freitas missed a potential game-winning 45-yard field goal as time expired, despite making 5 of 7 attempts earlier, highlighting inconsistency in clutch situations.
JJ Kohl threw for 271 yards and two touchdowns, and Jaquari Lewis rushed for 108 yards, showing the offense can produce, but they need to avoid penalties and finish drives.
The defense allowed a 75-yard, 52-second drive to lose the lead, including a 34-yard completion to the goal line, indicating issues with late-game execution and preventing big plays.
Lindenwood travels 516 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Lindenwood arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
App State won by 7 in a one-score game.
At 19.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour App State (-12.6) over Lindenwood (-32.0) by 19.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. App State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
App State won this game.