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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
West Virginia
10
1-0
Big 12
Power Rank: -2.8
@
FINAL
17
Ohio
0-1
MAC
Power Rank: -2.9

Ohio defeated West Virginia 17–10 in a one-score game.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Peden Stadium
Capacity: 25,210
Elevation: 640 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line West Virginia -0.1
Prediction Markets West Virginia 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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West Virginia
Ohio
Home field — Peden Stadium
Weather: Moderate snow
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

West Virginia @ Ohio Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

27.1°F

Wind Chill: 18.8°F
Wind: 7.8 mph SW
Gusts: 12.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 96%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 75%

Travel & Rest

West Virginia (Away)

This Week: 117.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 117.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Ohio (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 827.8 miles
Season Total: 1442.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 9

What are the key factors for West Virginia vs Ohio?

West Virginia: Key Factors

Bowl eligibility dashed

The Mountaineers needed to win out to become bowl eligible in coach Rich Rodriguez's first season, but the loss to Arizona State eliminated that possibility, as they fell to 4-7 overall.

Rushing attack struggles

West Virginia managed only 68 rushing yards on 39 carries, a major factor in the loss. Coach Rodriguez noted, 'If you run for 68 yards, you don't deserve to win the game,' highlighting a critical weakness.

Fourth-down inefficiency

The Mountaineers converted just 1 of 4 fourth-down attempts, including two failed tries inside Arizona State's 6-yard line, which cost them scoring opportunities and ultimately the game.

Big plays keep them in game

Despite offensive struggles, West Virginia hit two explosive passing plays: a 75-yard touchdown from Scotty Fox Jr. to Jeff Weimer and a 90-yard screen pass to Cyncir Bowers, showing potential in the passing game.

Next up: No. 8 Texas Tech

West Virginia hosts No. 8 Texas Tech on Nov. 29, facing a tough opponent while trying to end the season on a positive note after being eliminated from bowl contention.

Ohio: Key Factors

Strong Ground Attack

Ohio rushed for 359 yards, led by Parker Navarro (121 yards, 1 TD) and Sieh Bangura (120 yards, 1 TD), dominating time of possession and controlling the game.

Playoff Hopes Alive

Ohio (8-4, 6-2 MAC) needs Ball State to upset Miami (OH) on Saturday to have a chance at the MAC championship game; otherwise, tiebreakers may favor other teams.

Defensive Stand in Final Drive

After Buffalo cut the lead to 31-26, Ohio's defense forced a stop, preventing Buffalo from crossing midfield on their last possession, securing the win.

Navarro's Dual-Threat Performance

Parker Navarro accounted for 268 total yards (147 passing, 121 rushing) and 3 touchdowns (2 passing, 1 rushing), showcasing his versatility as a key offensive weapon.

First-Half Dominance

Ohio built a 21-7 halftime lead with two touchdown passes from Navarro, setting the tone and forcing Buffalo to play catch-up throughout the second half.

What happened in the game?

West Virginia travels 117 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ohio won by 7 in a one-score game.

Does weather affect this game at Peden Stadium?

At 27.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do West Virginia and Ohio compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate West Virginia (-2.8) and Ohio (-2.9) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Ohio brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on West Virginia and Ohio?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ohio won this game.