14
Final
28
9
Final
20
7
Final
42
14
Final
51
7
Final
38
31
Final
35
45
Final
19
9
Final
56
24
Final
34
0
Final
34
20
Final
27
13
Final
16
14
Final
62
48
Final
45
0
Final
66
17
Final
45
3
Final
77
22
Final
44
10
Final
42
7
Final
55
22
Final
32
31
Final
42
0
Final
70
36
Final
27
12
Final
59
43
Final
36
13
Final
20
6
Final
45
24
Final
38
16
Final
27
30
Final
23
7
Final
31
20
Final
34
17
Final
72
27
Final
26
6
Final
28
33
Final
30
3
Final
69
17
Final
45
7
Final
31
10
Final
17
10
Final
42
18
Final
16
20
Final
38
17
Final
20
14
Final
56
21
Final
20
6
Final
54
3
Final
56
14
Final
56
9
Final
63
3
Final
35
33
Final
31
24
Final
21
21
Final
45
17
Final
21
38
Final
16
20
Final
3
7
Final
68
10
Final
38
3
Final
45
35
Final
9
28
Final
23
40
Final
42
20
Final
59
13
Final
24
0
Final
68
44
Final
20
0
Final
13
17
Final
34
7
Final
23
20
Final
24
3
Final
42
0
Final
73
23
Final
30
10
Final
34
14
Final
21
17
Final
42
3
Final
48
13
Final
36
3
Final
27
10
Final
70
20
Final
37
Memphis defeated Georgia State 38–16 to secure a comfortable win.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team

31.6°F
Memphis managed only 3 points in the second half after leading 17-14 at halftime, failing to sustain drives and allowing Navy to take control.
Brendon Lewis completed 19 of 36 passes for 172 yards and two touchdowns, but the passing game lacked consistency and big plays after the first half.
Navy's option attack gained 103 yards from Alex Tecza and 54 from Blake Horvath, exposing Memphis's run defense and allowing two second-half rushing touchdowns.
Memphis held a 17-14 lead at halftime but could not capitalize on key drives, turning the ball over or punting in critical moments.
The loss drops Memphis to 6-4 overall and 4-4 in AAC play, likely eliminating them from conference title contention and hurting their bowl positioning.
Georgia State's defense allowed Troy quarterback Goose Crowder to throw for 361 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, highlighting a vulnerability in pass coverage that opponents can exploit.
Christian Veilleux threw for 307 yards and a touchdown, with Javon Robinson recording 146 receiving yards and a score, indicating the Panthers have a capable passing attack despite the loss.
Georgia State failed on a 2-point conversion attempt after a touchdown, and their only touchdown came on a 4-yard run, suggesting struggles to finish drives with maximum points.
The loss extends Georgia State's losing streak to eight games, with a 1-10 overall record and 0-7 in conference play, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence heading into their next game.
Memphis travels 333 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Memphis arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Memphis won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.
At 31.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Memphis (5.0) over Georgia State (-16.6) by 21.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Memphis won this game.