Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
38
1-0
American
Power Rank: 5.0
@
FINAL
16
0-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -16.6

Memphis defeated Georgia State 38–16 to secure a comfortable win.

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Center Parc Stadium
Capacity: 24,333
Elevation: 978 ft
HFA Rating: 1.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis -21.6
Prediction Markets Memphis 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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Your line Georgia State -21.6
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Memphis
Georgia State
Home field — Center Parc Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Memphis @ Georgia State Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

31.6°F

Wind Chill: 26.0°F
Wind: 5.6 mph WSW
Gusts: 11.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 49%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Memphis (Away)

This Week: 333.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 333.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Georgia State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 596.5 miles
Season Total: 1607.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Memphis vs Georgia State?

Memphis: Key Factors

Offensive Struggles in Second Half

Memphis managed only 3 points in the second half after leading 17-14 at halftime, failing to sustain drives and allowing Navy to take control.

Quarterback Performance

Brendon Lewis completed 19 of 36 passes for 172 yards and two touchdowns, but the passing game lacked consistency and big plays after the first half.

Defensive Lapses Against the Run

Navy's option attack gained 103 yards from Alex Tecza and 54 from Blake Horvath, exposing Memphis's run defense and allowing two second-half rushing touchdowns.

Missed Opportunities in Close Game

Memphis held a 17-14 lead at halftime but could not capitalize on key drives, turning the ball over or punting in critical moments.

Playoff Implications Diminished

The loss drops Memphis to 6-4 overall and 4-4 in AAC play, likely eliminating them from conference title contention and hurting their bowl positioning.

Georgia State: Key Factors

Defensive Struggles Against the Pass

Georgia State's defense allowed Troy quarterback Goose Crowder to throw for 361 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, highlighting a vulnerability in pass coverage that opponents can exploit.

Offensive Bright Spots in Passing Game

Christian Veilleux threw for 307 yards and a touchdown, with Javon Robinson recording 146 receiving yards and a score, indicating the Panthers have a capable passing attack despite the loss.

Inability to Convert in Red Zone

Georgia State failed on a 2-point conversion attempt after a touchdown, and their only touchdown came on a 4-yard run, suggesting struggles to finish drives with maximum points.

Extended Losing Streak

The loss extends Georgia State's losing streak to eight games, with a 1-10 overall record and 0-7 in conference play, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence heading into their next game.

What happened in the game?

Memphis travels 333 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Memphis arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Memphis won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Does weather affect this game at Center Parc Stadium?

At 31.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Memphis and Georgia State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Memphis (5.0) over Georgia State (-16.6) by 21.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Memphis won this game.