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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Miami (OH)
17
0-1
MAC
Power Rank: -6.3
@
FINAL
45
Rutgers
1-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 2.2

Rutgers defeated Miami (OH) 45–17 in a dominant performance. Rutgers covered by 14.5; Game went Over by 14.5.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: SHI Stadium
Capacity: 52,454
Elevation: 69 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Rutgers -13.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Odds Implied Score M-OH 17.0 - 30.5 RUTG
Power Rank Implied Line Rutgers -8.5
Prediction Markets Rutgers 85% Win Chance (Kalshi)

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Miami (OH)
Rutgers
Home field — SHI Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Miami (OH) @ Rutgers Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

19.5°F

Wind Chill: 10.5°F
Wind: 6.9 mph SW
Gusts: 14.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Miami (OH) (Away)

This Week: 548.7 miles
Last Week: 690.7 miles
Season Total: 1666.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 8

Rutgers (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 9

What are the key factors for Miami (OH) vs Rutgers?

Miami (OH): Key Factors

Clinched MAC Championship Game Berth

Miami (OH) secured a spot in the MAC title game for the third straight season with this win, finishing 7-5 overall and 6-2 in conference play. They will face Western Michigan (8-4, 7-1) in the championship.

Balanced Offensive Attack

The RedHawks amassed 234 rushing yards and 226 passing yards, with Thomas Gotkowski throwing three touchdowns (including a 55-yarder to Kam Perry) and Jordan Brunson and D'Shawntae Jones each adding rushing scores. This balanced production will be key against Western Michigan.

Defensive Dominance and Turnovers

Miami's defense recorded six sacks and forced a fumble recovery for a touchdown by Jermaine Agee late in the game. This aggressive pass rush and ability to create turnovers could disrupt Western Michigan's offense in the title game.

Fifth Consecutive Win Over Ball State

The RedHawks extended their winning streak against Ball State to five games, demonstrating consistent dominance in the rivalry. This momentum and confidence may carry into the championship matchup.

Tiebreaker Advantage Over Ohio and Toledo

Despite Ohio and Toledo also having 6-2 conference records, Miami (OH) earned the MAC title game berth due to a tiebreaker based on common opponents. This resilience in close conference races highlights their ability to perform under pressure.

Rutgers: Key Factors

Offensive Struggles Continue

Rutgers' offense struggled significantly, with QB Athan Kaliakmanis completing 25 of 45 passes for 253 yards and 1 TD but lacking accuracy and big plays. The team managed only 59 rushing yards (2.2 yards per carry), highlighting a lack of balance and effectiveness.

Defensive Improvement Needed

The defense allowed Illinois QB Luke Altmyer to throw for 235 yards and 4 TDs while also rushing for 88 yards and a TD. Rutgers recorded their first sack in three games, but overall defensive pressure and coverage were insufficient.

Key Players Underperformed

K.J. Duff, who had 241 receiving yards the previous week, was held to 9 catches for 93 yards and a TD but lacked explosive plays. Ian Strong had 6 receptions for 85 yards, but the offense failed to generate consistent scoring drives.

Losing Streak and Bowl Hopes Dim

Rutgers lost for the fifth time in six games, dropping to 4-5 overall and 1-5 in Big Ten play. With three games remaining, bowl eligibility is in jeopardy, requiring a strong finish starting with the next game against Maryland.

Next Game: Home vs. Maryland

Rutgers will host Maryland on November 8. To stay competitive, they must improve offensive efficiency, establish a running game, and tighten pass defense against a Maryland team that will be well-prepared.

What happened in the game?

Miami (OH) travels 549 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Rutgers won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Rutgers covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at SHI Stadium?

At 19.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Miami (OH) and Rutgers compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Rutgers (2.2) over Miami (OH) (-6.3) by 8.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Rutgers brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami (OH) and Rutgers?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Rutgers won and Rutgers covered the spread.