14
Final
28
9
Final
20
7
Final
42
14
Final
51
7
Final
38
31
Final
35
45
Final
19
9
Final
56
24
Final
34
0
Final
34
20
Final
27
13
Final
16
14
Final
62
48
Final
45
0
Final
66
17
Final
45
3
Final
77
22
Final
44
10
Final
42
7
Final
55
22
Final
32
31
Final
42
0
Final
70
36
Final
27
12
Final
59
43
Final
36
13
Final
20
6
Final
45
24
Final
38
16
Final
27
30
Final
23
7
Final
31
20
Final
34
17
Final
72
27
Final
26
6
Final
28
33
Final
30
3
Final
69
17
Final
45
7
Final
31
10
Final
17
10
Final
42
18
Final
16
20
Final
38
17
Final
20
14
Final
56
21
Final
20
6
Final
54
3
Final
56
14
Final
56
9
Final
63
3
Final
35
33
Final
31
24
Final
21
21
Final
45
17
Final
21
38
Final
16
20
Final
3
7
Final
68
10
Final
38
3
Final
45
35
Final
9
28
Final
23
40
Final
42
20
Final
59
13
Final
24
0
Final
68
44
Final
20
0
Final
13
17
Final
34
7
Final
23
20
Final
24
3
Final
42
0
Final
73
23
Final
30
10
Final
34
14
Final
21
17
Final
42
3
Final
48
13
Final
36
3
Final
27
10
Final
70
20
Final
37
Iowa State defeated Iowa 16–13 in a nail-biter. Iowa State covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 12.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Iowa 7.9 points stronger on a neutral field.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team

24.9°F
After allowing 231 yards and 16 points in the first half, Iowa's defense shut out Nebraska in the second half, holding them to just 69 yards. This turnaround was key to the 40-16 victory and shows the defense's ability to adjust and lock down opponents.
Quarterback Mark Gronowski contributed both through the air (9/16, 166 yards, 1 TD) and on the ground (13 carries, 64 yards, 2 TDs), while Kamari Moulton added 93 rushing yards and 2 TDs. This balance makes Iowa tough to defend and suggests they can control games offensively.
Iowa capitalized on a muffed punt that resulted in a safety and forced a fumble at the goal line. These momentum-shifting plays were crucial in breaking the game open and highlight Iowa's ability to create scoring opportunities from special teams and defensive takeaways.
Despite a slow start and a tough first half, Iowa remained consistent and responded offensively when needed. Coach Ferentz emphasized the team's ability to keep pushing, which has been a hallmark of their eight-win seasons since 2015. This resilience bodes well for bowl preparation.
Iowa's 10th win in 11 meetings against Nebraska underscores their psychological edge and familiarity with the opponent. This experience in high-stakes rivalry games can translate to confidence in bowl matchups against similar physical teams.
Becht completed 18 of 23 passes for 241 yards and 3 touchdowns, including a strong first half where he completed his first 10 passes, showing improved confidence and rhythm.
Hansen rushed for 120 yards, with 99 coming in the first half, and scored a 4-yard touchdown, providing a physical running game that consistently gained yards after contact.
Eskildsen caught 2 touchdown passes for 73 yards, highlighting his importance as a reliable target and helping build momentum with the crowd.
The Cyclones held Kansas to 154 passing yards and forced an interception, limiting the Jayhawks to 14 points and securing their first home win since late September.
Iowa State ended a 3-game losing streak against Kansas and improved to 7-4, gaining confidence and execution consistency heading into their next game at Oklahoma State.
Iowa travels 110 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Iowa State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Iowa State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 12.5 points.
At 24.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Iowa (17.9) over Iowa State (10.0) by 7.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Iowa State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Iowa State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Iowa State won and Iowa State covered the spread.