14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
Western Kentucky
21
2-0
CUSA
Power Rank: -13.1
@
FINAL
45
Toledo
0-1
MAC
Power Rank: -1.4

Toledo defeated Western Kentucky 45–21 to secure a comfortable win.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Glass Bowl
Capacity: 8,000
Elevation: 610 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Toledo -11.7
Prediction Markets Toledo 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Toledo +11.7
Implied value —
Current line — edit to adjust
Toledo perspective
Power ratings — edit to adjust
Western Kentucky
Toledo
Home field — Glass Bowl
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Western Kentucky @ Toledo Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

19.8°F

Wind Chill: 9.0°F
Wind: 9.2 mph WNW
Gusts: 16.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Western Kentucky (Away)

This Week: 356.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 356.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Toledo (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 510.4 miles
Season Total: 800.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Western Kentucky vs Toledo?

Western Kentucky: Key Factors

Close Loss in High-Scoring Affair

Western Kentucky lost 37-34 to Jacksonville State on a last-second field goal, falling to 8-4 overall and 6-2 in conference play. The loss prevented them from reaching the CUSA championship game.

Strong Offensive Performance by Quarterback

Rodney Tisdale Jr. completed 17 of 24 passes for 180 yards, showing efficiency but limited explosive plays. The offense will need to generate more big plays to compete in their next game.

Effective Running Game Led by La'Vell Wright

La'Vell Wright rushed for 116 yards and scored two touchdowns, providing a solid ground attack. This performance suggests the running game can be a key factor moving forward.

Defensive Struggles Against the Run

The defense allowed Jacksonville State's rushing attack to accumulate significant yards, including 137 yards and a touchdown from Cam Cook and 143 rushing yards from Caden Creel. This vulnerability could be exploited by future opponents.

Inability to Close Out Games

Western Kentucky led 21-7 early in the second quarter but allowed Jacksonville State to rally and win on a last-second field goal. The team must improve its ability to maintain leads and execute in critical moments.

Toledo: Key Factors

Second-Half Offensive Explosion

After a scoreless first half, Toledo's offense erupted in the second half with 21 unanswered points, including a 57-yard touchdown pass and a 42-yard run, showing an ability to adjust and dominate after halftime.

Dominant Defensive Performance

Toledo's defense held Central Michigan to just 81 rushing yards, recorded four sacks, and forced an interception, limiting the Chippewas to only a field goal and setting the stage for the comeback.

Chip Trayanum's Versatility

Chip Trayanum was the offensive star, rushing for 94 yards and two touchdowns while also catching three passes for 65 yards, including a 57-yard score, making him a dual-threat weapon for the upcoming MAC championship game.

No Turnovers and Efficient Passing

Quarterbacks Kalieb Osborne and Tucker Gleason combined for 206 passing yards with zero turnovers, providing a clean and efficient aerial attack that complemented the running game and kept drives alive.

MAC Championship Berth Secured

With the win, Toledo improved to 8-4 and secured a spot in the MAC championship game on Dec. 6, where they will face the winner of a tiebreaker between Miami (OH) or Ohio, adding high stakes to their next matchup.

What happened in the game?

Western Kentucky travels 356 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Western Kentucky arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Toledo won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Does weather affect this game at Glass Bowl?

At 19.8°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 62%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Western Kentucky and Toledo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Toledo (-1.4) over Western Kentucky (-13.1) by 11.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Western Kentucky and Toledo?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Toledo won this game.