Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
3
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -29.6
@
FINAL
35
1-0
ACC
Power Rank: -5.6

California defeated Texas Southern 35–3 in a dominant performance.

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM PDT
Stadium: California Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 52,428
Elevation: 427 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line California -24.0
Prediction Markets California 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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Texas Southern
California
Home field — California Memorial Stadium
Weather: Patchy rain nearby
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Texas Southern @ California Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Patchy rain nearby

Patchy rain nearby

53.4°F

Wind Chill: 53.0°F
Wind: 4.0 mph SSE
Gusts: 6.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.08"
Humidity: 84%
Rain Chance: 83%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas Southern (Away)

This Week: 1638.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 4915.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 6

California (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 929.3 miles
Season Total: 929.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 6

What are the key factors for Texas Southern vs California?

Texas Southern: Key Factors

Offensive Struggles

The Tigers' offense lacked rhythm, managing only 194 total yards and converting just 3 of 14 third downs, with quarterback KJ Cooper's scrambling being the only bright spot.

Defensive Vulnerability

Texas Southern's defense was gashed by Cal's running game, allowing 131 yards and a touchdown to Kendrick Raphael, and struggled to pressure the quarterback or stop the run up the middle.

Scoring Drought

The Tigers were held scoreless until a fourth-quarter field goal, marking their only points of the game and highlighting a lack of explosive plays or sustained drives.

Next Game Outlook

Facing Lamar University next, Texas Southern must improve offensive consistency and defensive discipline to compete, as their current performance suggests significant adjustments are needed.

California: Key Factors

Resilient Offense Under New Coach

Cal scored 38 points against a strong SMU defense, with QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele throwing for 330 yards and 4 TDs. The offense showed poise in a game-winning drive, suggesting they can perform under pressure in bowl preparation.

Key Defensive Plays by Freshman

Freshman safety Aiden Manutai made a crucial interception and a pass breakup on SMU's final drive, highlighting a defense that can create turnovers and make stops in critical moments.

Running Game Effectiveness

Kendrick Raphael rushed 33 times for 111 yards and the game-winning TD, providing a reliable ground attack that can control the clock and complement the passing game.

Emotional Boost from Coaching Change

Playing under interim coach Nick Rolovich after Justin Wilcox's firing, the team stayed united and won for the seniors, indicating strong morale and adaptability that could carry into a bowl game.

What happened in the game?

Texas Southern travels 1,638 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Texas Southern arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

California won by 32 in a dominant performance.

Does weather affect this game at California Memorial Stadium?

Precipitation chance is 83%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Texas Southern and California compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour California (-5.6) over Texas Southern (-29.6) by 24.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. California brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

California won this game.