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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
North Carolina Central
6
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -17.6
@
FINAL
54
Old Dominion
0-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: 1.2

Old Dominion defeated North Carolina Central 54–6 in a dominant performance.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM EDT
Stadium: S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity: 21,944
Elevation: 13 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Old Dominion -18.8
Prediction Markets Old Dominion 92% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Line Value Calculator

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North Carolina Central
Old Dominion
Home field — S.B. Ballard Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

North Carolina Central @ Old Dominion Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

25.5°F

Wind Chill: 15.7°F
Wind: 10.3 mph SW
Gusts: 18.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

North Carolina Central (Away)

This Week: 157.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 472.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Old Dominion (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: 1158.2 miles
Season Total: 1158.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for North Carolina Central vs Old Dominion?

North Carolina Central: Key Factors

Offensive Struggles and Turnovers

The Eagles managed only 6 points, all from field goals, and had a critical special teams error when punter Brandon Bowman bobbled a snap leading to a safety. This lack of offensive production and costly mistakes will need to be addressed to compete in future games.

Defensive Vulnerability to Big Plays

Old Dominion's Trequan Jones had a program-record 93-yard run and three total touchdowns, exposing the Eagles' defense to explosive plays. Containing big runs and improving tackling will be key for the next matchup.

Injury to Key Defensive Back

First-team All-MEAC defensive back Malcolm Reed left the game in the fourth quarter and did not return. His potential absence could weaken the secondary, making depth and adjustments critical for the next game.

Old Dominion: Key Factors

Dominant rushing attack

Devin Roche (137 yards, 2 TDs) and Colton Joseph (108 yards, 1 TD) combined for 245 rushing yards, powering a comeback from a 10-0 deficit. This ground game will be a key strength in their bowl matchup.

Resilient comeback win

After trailing 10-0 in the second quarter, Old Dominion scored 27 unanswered points, showcasing mental toughness and ability to adjust. This momentum could carry into the bowl game.

Bowl game experience

The Monarchs will play in a bowl for the third time under coach Ricky Rahne, with their last appearance being a 38-35 OT loss to Western Kentucky in the 2023 Famous Toastery Bowl. This experience may help them prepare for the postseason.

Passing game efficiency needed

Colton Joseph completed only 9 of 22 passes for 106 yards, indicating room for improvement in the passing attack. Opponents may focus on stopping the run, so better passing efficiency will be crucial in the bowl game.

Strong defensive response

After allowing an early 10-0 lead, the defense shut out Georgia State for the remainder of the game, forcing punts and limiting big plays. This defensive resilience will be vital against a bowl opponent.

What happened in the game?

North Carolina Central travels 158 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Old Dominion won by 48 in a dominant performance.

Does weather affect this game at S.B. Ballard Stadium?

At 25.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do North Carolina Central and Old Dominion compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Old Dominion (1.2) over North Carolina Central (-17.6) by 18.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Old Dominion brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Carolina Central and Old Dominion?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Old Dominion won this game.