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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:00 PM UTC
Idaho State
22
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -20.4
@
FINAL
32
New Mexico
0-1
MW
Power Rank: -6.0

New Mexico defeated Idaho State 32–22 in a double-digit victory.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MDT
Stadium: University Stadium (NM)
Capacity: 39,224
Elevation: 5121 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line New Mexico -14.4
Prediction Markets New Mexico 87% Win Chance (Kalshi)

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Idaho State
New Mexico
Home field — University Stadium (NM)
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Idaho State @ New Mexico Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.8°F

Wind Chill: 43.0°F
Wind: 3.4 mph S
Gusts: 6.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 36%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Idaho State (Away)

This Week: 621.9 miles
Last Week: 980.5 miles
Season Total: 2583.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 6

New Mexico (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: 2656.0 miles
Season Total: 2655.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Idaho State vs New Mexico?

Idaho State: Key Factors

Quarterback Rotation Continues

Idaho State used both Davis Harsin (17/26, 181 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) and Jackson Sharman (11/13, 84 yards) at quarterback, indicating a lack of a clear starter and potential inconsistency in the passing game.

Strong Second Quarter Surge

The Bengals scored three straight touchdowns spanning halftime to take a 22-14 lead, showing offensive explosiveness and ability to capitalize on momentum shifts.

Defensive Struggles Against the Run

New Mexico's Scottre Humphrey rushed for 141 yards and two touchdowns, including a 61-yard run, exposing Idaho State's run defense as a major weakness.

Inability to Close Out Games

After taking the lead, Idaho State allowed 18 unanswered points in the fourth quarter, including a go-ahead touchdown and a subsequent score after a three-and-out, highlighting late-game defensive and offensive failures.

Turnover Margin Issue

Harsin's interception contributed to a negative turnover margin, which proved costly in a close game where New Mexico capitalized on the mistake.

New Mexico: Key Factors

Overtime Resilience

New Mexico overcame a fumble in the first overtime to win in the second OT, showing mental toughness and ability to execute under pressure.

Defensive Stand in OT

The Lobos defense sacked San Diego State on second and third down in the second overtime, forcing a fourth-and-30 that the Aztecs failed to convert, sealing the win.

Passing Game Efficiency

Jack Layne threw for 127 yards and the game-winning TD pass to Cade Keith, demonstrating clutch passing when needed.

Rushing Attack Contributions

James Laubstein and D.J. McKinney each scored rushing touchdowns, providing a balanced offensive attack despite the fumble by Laubstein.

Championship Implications

The win keeps New Mexico in contention for the Mountain West championship, with the participants to be decided by computer rankings, adding high stakes to their next game.

What happened in the game?

Idaho State travels 622 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

New Mexico won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

How do Idaho State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour New Mexico (-6.0) over Idaho State (-20.4) by 14.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. New Mexico brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Idaho State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won this game.