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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
Boston College
40
1-0
ACC
Power Rank: -6.5
@
FINAL
42
Michigan State
1-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 3.8

Michigan State defeated Boston College 42–40 in a nail-biter.

By · Last updated

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Spartan Stadium
Capacity: 75,005
Elevation: 866 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Michigan State -10.3
Prediction Markets Michigan State 62% Win Chance (Kalshi)

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Boston College
Michigan State
Home field — Spartan Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Boston College @ Michigan State Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

14.6°F

Wind Chill: 2.1°F
Wind: 10.3 mph NW
Gusts: 19.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Boston College (Away)

This Week: 679.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1195.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 7

Michigan State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 156.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for Boston College vs Michigan State?

Boston College: Key Factors

Offensive Explosion but Defensive Struggles

Boston College's offense had a strong showing with 537 total yards and 34 points, but the defense allowed 36 points and 371 passing yards, failing to hold a late lead.

Quarterback Dylan Lonergan Shines

Lonergan completed 26 of 40 passes for 362 yards and 2 touchdowns, showing effectiveness as the starter after rotating quarterbacks in recent games.

Late Game Execution Falters

The Eagles took a 34-33 lead with 2:05 left on a 43-yard run by Turbo Richard, but missed the 2-point conversion and then allowed a game-winning field goal drive, highlighting late-game execution issues.

Lewis Bond Sets School Record

Receiver Lewis Bond made 8 catches, becoming Boston College's all-time career leader with 206 receptions, surpassing Zay Flowers.

Season Finale at Syracuse

Boston College (1-10, 0-7) travels to Syracuse on Nov. 29 for its season finale, looking to end a 10-game losing streak.

Michigan State: Key Factors

Fourth Quarter Collapse

Michigan State led 17-7 after three quarters but allowed Iowa to score 13 unanswered points in the fourth quarter, including a game-tying touchdown with 1:29 left and a game-winning field goal as time expired. The Spartans' offense managed only 26 yards in the fourth quarter, highlighting a critical inability to sustain drives or protect a lead.

Special Teams Vulnerability

Iowa's Kaden Wetjen returned a punt 62 yards for a touchdown in the first quarter and set up the game-tying drive with a 40-yard punt return late in the fourth quarter. Michigan State's punting game was exploited, and coach Jonathan Smith acknowledged special teams as a key factor in the loss.

Quarterback Performance

Alessio Milivojevic threw for 255 yards and two third-quarter touchdowns to Chrishon McCray, giving the Spartans a 10-point lead. However, he could not generate any offense in the fourth quarter, and the team's overall offensive output (335 yards) was not enough to overcome the defensive and special teams lapses.

Losing Streak Continues

The loss extended Michigan State's losing streak to eight games overall and nine consecutive Big Ten losses. The team has not won since September and is now 3-8 overall, 0-8 in conference play, with only one game remaining against Maryland.

Next Game Outlook

Michigan State faces Maryland in Detroit on Saturday. The Spartans will need to address their fourth-quarter execution, special teams coverage, and ability to close out games to have a chance at ending their losing streak. The team's morale is low after another close loss, and they must find a way to finish strong.

What happened in the game?

Boston College travels 680 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Michigan State won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Does weather affect this game at Spartan Stadium?

At 14.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 64%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Boston College and Michigan State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan State (3.8) over Boston College (-6.5) by 10.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Boston College and Michigan State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Michigan State won this game.