Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 09:00 PM UTC
14
1-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -10.7
@
FINAL
56
1-0
SEC
Power Rank: 9.4

Arkansas defeated Arkansas State 56–14 in a dominant performance.

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM CDT
Stadium: War Memorial Stadium (AR)
Capacity: 31,075
Elevation: 410 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Arkansas -20.1
Prediction Markets Arkansas 94% Win Chance (Kalshi)

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Arkansas State
Arkansas
Home field — War Memorial Stadium (AR)
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Arkansas State @ Arkansas Preview

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.4°F

Wind Chill: 35.3°F
Wind: 3.8 mph WNW
Gusts: 8.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 75%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas State (Away)

This Week: 120.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1127.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Arkansas (Home)

This Week: 138.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: -138.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Arkansas State vs Arkansas?

Arkansas State: Key Factors

Clutch Offensive Drive

Arkansas State executed a 75-yard, 7-play drive in 52 seconds to score the game-winning touchdown, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure and move the ball quickly.

Quarterback Performance

Jaylen Raynor threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns, demonstrating strong passing ability that will be key in future games.

Wide Receiver Production

Chauncey Cobb (117 yards) and Corey Rucker (90 yards, 2 TDs) were primary targets, indicating a reliable passing attack that can exploit defenses.

Bowl Eligibility Achieved

The win secured bowl eligibility for Arkansas State, boosting team morale and providing extra motivation for the next game.

Defensive Resilience

Despite allowing 29 points, the defense forced a missed field goal as time expired, showing they can make critical stops when needed.

Arkansas: Key Factors

Nine-game losing streak continues with defensive collapse

Arkansas extended their losing streak to nine games in a 52-37 loss to Texas, marking another defensive breakdown where they allowed 52 points. The Razorbacks have now surrendered significant point totals consistently, indicating major defensive issues that will be problematic against Missouri's offense next week.

Second-half turnovers and inability to get stops

Arkansas was competitive in the first half, trailing only 24-20, but quarterback Taylen Green threw a crucial interception on their first possession of the second half that led to a Texas touchdown. Interim coach Bobby Petrino noted they 'couldn't get off the field' defensively in the second half, showing continued issues with closing out games.

Team attitude and leadership concerns emerging

For the first time this season, interim coach Bobby Petrino expressed concern about some players' attitudes not being where they need to be. This suggests potential locker room issues and lack of fight as the season winds down, which could impact their performance against ranked Missouri.

Offensive bright spots with Green and Washington

Despite the loss, Arkansas showed some offensive capability with touchdown runs from both quarterback Taylen Green and running back Mike Washington. The ability to keep pace early (20 points in first half) suggests the offense can move the ball, which may be crucial against Missouri's defense.

Winless in SEC play heading into final game

Arkansas remains 0-7 in SEC play and 2-9 overall, making them one of the worst teams in the conference. With only the Missouri game remaining, they face a ranked opponent while showing signs of a team that has mentally checked out, making an upset victory unlikely.

What happened in the game?

Arkansas State travels 121 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arkansas won by 42 in a dominant performance.

How do Arkansas State and Arkansas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas (9.4) over Arkansas State (-10.7) by 20.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arkansas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arkansas won this game.