14
Final
28
9
Final
20
7
Final
42
14
Final
51
7
Final
38
31
Final
35
45
Final
19
9
Final
56
24
Final
34
0
Final
34
20
Final
27
13
Final
16
14
Final
62
48
Final
45
0
Final
66
17
Final
45
3
Final
77
22
Final
44
10
Final
42
7
Final
55
22
Final
32
31
Final
42
0
Final
70
36
Final
27
12
Final
59
43
Final
36
13
Final
20
6
Final
45
24
Final
38
16
Final
27
30
Final
23
7
Final
31
20
Final
34
17
Final
72
27
Final
26
6
Final
28
33
Final
30
3
Final
69
17
Final
45
7
Final
31
10
Final
17
10
Final
42
18
Final
16
20
Final
38
17
Final
20
14
Final
56
21
Final
20
6
Final
54
3
Final
56
14
Final
56
9
Final
63
3
Final
35
33
Final
31
24
Final
21
21
Final
45
17
Final
21
38
Final
16
20
Final
3
7
Final
68
10
Final
38
3
Final
45
35
Final
9
28
Final
23
40
Final
42
20
Final
59
13
Final
24
0
Final
68
44
Final
20
0
Final
13
17
Final
34
7
Final
23
20
Final
24
3
Final
42
0
Final
73
23
Final
30
10
Final
34
14
Final
21
17
Final
42
3
Final
48
13
Final
36
3
Final
27
10
Final
70
20
Final
37
Southern Miss defeated Jackson State 38–20 to secure a comfortable win.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team

32.9°F
Jackson State rushed for 191 yards, led by Travis Terrell Jr.'s 80 yards, showing a strong running attack that could be a key factor in future games.
The Tigers allowed 224 passing yards and 3 touchdown passes, indicating vulnerability in pass defense that opponents may exploit.
Ahmad Miller's 8-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter showed the team's ability to score late, but the offense needs to start faster to compete.
A blocked punt returned for a touchdown early in the game set a negative tone, highlighting the need for improved special teams execution.
Southern Miss managed only 18 points despite 209 passing yards and a touchdown from Braylon Braxton. The offense stalled in the red zone, settling for field goals or failing to convert drives into touchdowns, which limited their ability to keep pace with Troy.
The defense allowed three touchdown passes from Goose Crowder, including a 75-yard strike to RaRa Thomas. These explosive plays undermined otherwise solid defensive efforts, as Troy capitalized on coverage breakdowns to extend drives and secure the win.
A fumble recovery by Kadinn Morris in the end zone late in the third quarter pulled Southern Miss within 14-10, providing a crucial momentum swing. However, the offense could not sustain drives afterward, and the defense allowed a decisive 85-yard touchdown drive in the fourth quarter.
Southern Miss entered the fourth quarter trailing by only four points but failed to score again after the fumble recovery touchdown. The offense went three-and-out on two key possessions, and the defense could not stop Troy's game-sealing drive, highlighting late-game execution problems.
The loss marked Southern Miss's third consecutive defeat to close the regular season, dropping them to 7-5 overall and 5-3 in Sun Belt play. This skid raises concerns about team morale and consistency heading into a potential bowl game, where they will need to address offensive and defensive vulnerabilities.
Jackson State travels 85 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Southern Miss won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.
At 32.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Southern Miss (-6.7) over Jackson State (-33.2) by 26.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Southern Miss won this game.