14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Bush's Boca Raton Bowl • December 23, 2025, 07:00 PM UTC
Toledo @ Louisville
0-0
MAC
Power Rank: 3.1
22 FINAL 27
0-0
ACC
Power Rank: 18.2

By · Last updated

Louisville defeated Toledo 27–22 in a closely contested finish.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM EST
Stadium: FAU Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 16 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Louisville +15.1
Prediction Markets Louisville 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

52.2°F

Wind Chill: 48.9°F
Wind: 10.1 mph NW
Gusts: 13.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 26%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Toledo (Away)

This Week: 1072.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6120.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 24

Louisville (Home)

This Week: 879.3 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5420.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 24

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Louisville +15.1
Implied value —
Betting
Current line —
Total (O/U) —
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Toledo 3.1
Louisville 18.2
Travel impact
Away travel 1072 mi
Home travel 879 mi
Rest Even
Home field — FAU Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 16 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 52.2°F
Wind speed 10.1 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Toledo vs Louisville?

Toledo: Key Factors

Louisville: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Toledo travels 1,072 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Louisville won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

How do Toledo and Louisville compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Louisville (18.2) over Toledo (3.1) by 15.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Toledo and Louisville?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Louisville won this game.