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Isleta New Mexico Bowl • December 27, 2025, 10:45 PM UTC
North Texas @ San Diego State
0-0
American
Power Rank: 8.5
49 FINAL 47
0-0
MW
Power Rank: 5.3

By · Last updated

North Texas defeated San Diego State 49–47 in a nail-biter.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:45 PM MST
Stadium: University Stadium (NM)
Capacity: 39,224
Elevation: 5121 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line North Texas +3.2
Prediction Markets North Texas 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

41.4°F

Wind Chill: 39.5°F
Wind: 3.6 mph S
Gusts: 7.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 42%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

North Texas (Away)

This Week: 557.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10625.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:45
Rest Days: 28

San Diego State (Home)

This Week: 622.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 15221.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:45
Rest Days: 29

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line San Diego State -3.2
Implied value —
Betting
Current line —
Total (O/U) —
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
North Texas 8.5
San Diego State 5.3
Travel impact
Away travel 557 mi
Home travel 623 mi
Rest San Diego State +1
Home field — University Stadium (NM)
Capacity 39,224
Elevation 5121 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 41.4°F
Wind speed 3.6 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for North Texas vs San Diego State?

North Texas: Key Factors

San Diego State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

North Texas travels 557 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

North Texas arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

North Texas won by 2 in a nail-biter.

How do North Texas and San Diego State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour North Texas (8.5) over San Diego State (5.3) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, San Diego State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Texas and San Diego State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

North Texas won this game.