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Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl • December 30, 2025, 10:30 PM UTC
Tennessee @ Illinois
0-0
SEC
Power Rank: 20.8
28 FINAL 30
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 16.8

By · Last updated

Illinois defeated Tennessee 30–28 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Tennessee 4.0 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM CST
Stadium: Nissan Stadium
Capacity: 69,143
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Tennessee +4.0
Prediction Markets Tennessee 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather

Weather data not available

Travel & Rest

Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 160.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2861.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:30
Rest Days: 31

Illinois (Home)

This Week: 282.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5766.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 31

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Illinois -4.0
Implied value —
Betting
Current line —
Total (O/U) —
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Tennessee 20.8
Illinois 16.8
Travel impact
Away travel 160 mi
Home travel 283 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Nissan Stadium
Capacity 69,143
Elevation 0 ft
Weather
Temperature —°F
Wind speed — mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Tennessee vs Illinois?

Tennessee: Key Factors

Illinois: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Tennessee travels 160 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Illinois won by 2 in a nail-biter.

How do Tennessee and Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tennessee (20.8) over Illinois (16.8) by 4.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Illinois faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tennessee and Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Illinois won this game.