Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl • December 31, 2025, 07:00 PM UTC
0-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 13.4
39 FINAL 42
0-0
ACC
Power Rank: 12.4

Duke defeated Arizona State 42–39 in a nail-biter.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM MST
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona State +1.0
Prediction Markets Duke 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

54.3°F

Wind Chill: 54.6°F
Wind: 2.2 mph SSE
Gusts: 3.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona State (Away)

This Week: 336.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 9255.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 33

Duke (Home)

This Week: 1605.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10942.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 32

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Duke -1.0
Implied value
Betting
Current line
Total (O/U)
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Arizona State 13.4
Duke 12.4
Travel impact
Away travel 336 mi
Home travel 1605 mi
Rest Arizona State +1
Home field — Sun Bowl
Capacity 51,500
Elevation 3904 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 54.3°F
Wind speed 2.2 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Arizona State vs Duke?

Arizona State: Key Factors

Duke: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arizona State travels 336 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Duke won by 3 in a nail-biter.

How do Arizona State and Duke compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona State (13.4) over Duke (12.4) by 1.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Duke faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Duke won this game.