Valero Alamo Bowl • December 31, 2025, 02:00 AM UTC
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 23.5
27 FINAL 30
0-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 15.9

TCU defeated USC 30–27 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated USC 7.6 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM CST
Stadium: Alamodome
Capacity: 64,000
Elevation: 738 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line USC +7.6
Prediction Markets USC 66% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Alamodome
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

USC (Away)

This Week: 1206.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 15826.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 32

TCU (Home)

This Week: 236.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 9503.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 32

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line TCU -7.6
Implied value
Betting
Current line
Total (O/U)
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
USC 23.5
TCU 15.9
Travel impact
Away travel 1207 mi
Home travel 236 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Alamodome
Capacity 64,000
Elevation 738 ft
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 41.3°F
Wind speed 3.8 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for USC vs TCU?

USC: Key Factors

TCU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

USC travels 1,207 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

USC arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

TCU won by 3 in a nail-biter.

How do USC and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (23.5) over TCU (15.9) by 7.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, TCU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

TCU won this game.