Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl • January 02, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
0-0
American
Power Rank: -12.8
10 FINAL 41
0-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -0.7

Texas State defeated Rice 41–10 in a dominant performance.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM CST
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 646 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +12.1
Prediction Markets Rice 50% Texas State 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

53.3°F

Wind Chill: 51.1°F
Wind: 6.5 mph SSW
Gusts: 12.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 39%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Rice (Away)

This Week: 236.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8562.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 34

Texas State (Home)

This Week: 197.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 7062.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 34

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Texas State +12.1
Implied value
Betting
Current line
Total (O/U)
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Rice -12.8
Texas State -0.7
Travel impact
Away travel 237 mi
Home travel 197 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 646 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 53.3°F
Wind speed 6.5 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Rice vs Texas State?

Rice: Key Factors

Texas State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Rice travels 237 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Texas State won by 31 in a dominant performance.

How do Rice and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas State (-0.7) over Rice (-12.8) by 12.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Texas State won this game.