Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
5-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 22.6
21 FINAL 17
6-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 13.4
USC covered by 10.5 | Game went Under by 21.5

USC defeated Nebraska 21–17 in a closely contested finish. USC covered the spread; the game went Under.

USC @ Nebraska Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Capacity: 85,458
Elevation: 1204 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Nebraska -6.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score USC 26.5 - 33.0 NEB
Power Rank Implied Line USC +9.2
Prediction Markets USC 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

23.5°F

Wind Chill: 18.7°F
Wind: 4.0 mph ENE
Gusts: 8.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 69%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

USC (Away)

This Week: 1272.3 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 11870.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 14

Nebraska (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3123.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Nebraska -9.2
Implied value
Betting
Current line Nebraska -6.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
USC 22.6
Nebraska 13.4
Travel impact
Away travel 1272 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest USC +7
Home field — Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Capacity 85,458
Elevation 1204 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 23.5°F
Wind speed 4.0 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for USC vs Nebraska?

USC: Key Factors

Nebraska: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

USC travels 1,272 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

USC arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

USC won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

USC covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 21.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)?

At 23.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do USC and Nebraska compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (22.6) over Nebraska (13.4) by 9.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Nebraska faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Nebraska brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and USC covered the spread.