Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
7-1
SEC
Power Rank: 22.8
41 FINAL 21
5-4
SEC
Power Rank: 13.2
Georgia covered by 12.5 | Game went Over by 4.5

Georgia defeated Mississippi State 41–21 to secure a comfortable win. Georgia covered the spread; the game went Over.

Georgia @ Mississippi State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity: 60,311
Elevation: 381 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Georgia -7.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score UGA 32.5 - 25.0 MSST
Power Rank Implied Line Georgia +9.6
Prediction Markets Georgia 78% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

38.7°F

Wind Chill: 33.5°F
Wind: 8.1 mph WSW
Gusts: 13.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 57%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Georgia (Away)

This Week: 314.0 miles
Last Week: 539.6 miles
Season Total: 1565.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Mississippi State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 710.5 miles
Season Total: 2902.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Mississippi State -9.6
Implied value
Betting
Current line Georgia -7.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Georgia 22.8
Mississippi State 13.2
Travel impact
Away travel 314 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity 60,311
Elevation 381 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 38.7°F
Wind speed 8.1 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Georgia vs Mississippi State?

Georgia: Key Factors

Mississippi State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Georgia travels 314 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Georgia arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Georgia won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Georgia covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do Georgia and Mississippi State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Georgia (22.8) over Mississippi State (13.2) by 9.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Mississippi State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Mississippi State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Georgia won and Georgia covered the spread.