Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
5-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -6.7
30 FINAL 27
2-6
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.1
Jacksonville State covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 2.5

Jacksonville State defeated UTEP 30–27 in a nail-biter. Jacksonville State covered the spread; the game went Over.

Jacksonville State @ UTEP Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTEP -1.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score JXST 26.5 - 28.0 UTEP
Power Rank Implied Line Jacksonville State +5.4
Prediction Markets Jacksonville State 51% UTEP 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

53.5°F

Wind Chill: 53.9°F
Wind: 2.7 mph ESE
Gusts: 4.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 35%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Jacksonville State (Away)

This Week: 1213.4 miles
Last Week: 288.2 miles
Season Total: 4700.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 10

UTEP (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2564.9 miles
Season Total: 10082.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 10

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line UTEP -5.4
Implied value
Betting
Current line UTEP -1.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Jacksonville State -6.7
UTEP -12.1
Travel impact
Away travel 1213 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Sun Bowl
Capacity 51,500
Elevation 3904 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 53.5°F
Wind speed 2.7 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Jacksonville State vs UTEP?

Jacksonville State: Key Factors

UTEP: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 1,213 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Jacksonville State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Jacksonville State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Jacksonville State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 2.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Jacksonville State (-6.7) over UTEP (-12.1) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTEP faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Jacksonville State won and Jacksonville State covered the spread.