14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Texas State @ Louisiana
3-5
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -3.8
39 FINAL 42
3-6
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -8.9
Louisiana covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 16.5

By · Last updated

Louisiana defeated Texas State 42–39 in a nail-biter. Louisiana covered the spread; the game went Over. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Texas State 5.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

Texas State @ Louisiana Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM CST
Stadium: Cajun Field
Capacity: 20,000
Elevation: 62 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas State -1.5
Total (O/U) 64.5
Expected Score TXST 33.0 - 31.5 UL
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +5.1
Prediction Markets Texas State 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.8°F

Wind Chill: 33.9°F
Wind: 7.2 mph SW
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 78%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas State (Away)

This Week: 353.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5469.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 11

Louisiana (Home)

This Week: 1.6 miles
Last Week: 461.2 miles
Season Total: 6196.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Louisiana -5.1
Implied value —
Betting
Current line Texas State -1.5
Total (O/U) 64.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Texas State -3.8
Louisiana -8.9
Travel impact
Away travel 353 mi
Home travel 2 mi
Rest Texas State +4
Home field — Cajun Field
Capacity 20,000
Elevation 62 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.8°F
Wind speed 7.2 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Texas State vs Louisiana?

Texas State: Key Factors

Louisiana: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Texas State travels 353 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Louisiana won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Louisiana covered the spread.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Texas State and Louisiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas State (-3.8) over Louisiana (-8.9) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Louisiana faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Louisiana brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas State and Louisiana?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Louisiana won and Louisiana covered the spread.