Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
2-6
American
Power Rank: -12.6
21 FINAL 40
3-5
American
Power Rank: -10.8
Florida Atlantic covered by 14.5 | Game went Under by 4.5

Florida Atlantic defeated Tulsa 40–21 to secure a comfortable win. Florida Atlantic covered the spread; the game went Under.

Tulsa @ Florida Atlantic Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM EST
Stadium: FAU Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 16 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Florida Atlantic -4.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Expected Score TLSA 30.5 - 35.0 FAU
Power Rank Implied Line Florida Atlantic +1.8
Prediction Markets Florida Atlantic 63% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

51.6°F

Wind Chill: 48.5°F
Wind: 9.4 mph NW
Gusts: 12.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 26%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tulsa (Away)

This Week: 1151.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5392.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 14

Florida Atlantic (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5949.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Florida Atlantic +1.8
Implied value
Betting
Current line Florida Atlantic -4.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Tulsa -12.6
Florida Atlantic -10.8
Travel impact
Away travel 1152 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — FAU Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 16 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 51.6°F
Wind speed 9.4 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic?

Tulsa: Key Factors

Florida Atlantic: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Tulsa travels 1,152 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Tulsa arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Florida Atlantic won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Florida Atlantic covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

How do Tulsa and Florida Atlantic compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Florida Atlantic (-10.8) over Tulsa (-12.6) by 1.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida Atlantic brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Florida Atlantic won and Florida Atlantic covered the spread.