14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 09:15 PM UTC
New Mexico State @ Tennessee
3-6
CUSA
Power Rank: -15.3
9 FINAL 42
6-3
SEC
Power Rank: 19.9
New Mexico State covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 10.5

By · Last updated

Tennessee defeated New Mexico State 42–9 in a dominant performance. New Mexico State covered the spread; the game went Under.

New Mexico State @ Tennessee Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:15 PM EST
Stadium: Neyland Stadium
Capacity: 101,915
Elevation: 899 ft
HFA Rating: 3.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Tennessee -39.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score NMSU 11.0 - 50.5 TENN
Power Rank Implied Line Tennessee +35.2
Prediction Markets Tennessee 99% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Cloudy

Cloudy

23.3°F

Wind Chill: 18.0°F
Wind: 3.8 mph SW
Gusts: 8.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 80%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico State (Away)

This Week: 1329.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8953.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:15
Rest Days: 7

Tennessee (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1813.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:15
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Tennessee +35.2
Implied value —
Betting
Current line Tennessee -39.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
New Mexico State -15.3
Tennessee 19.9
Travel impact
Away travel 1329 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Tennessee +7
Home field — Neyland Stadium
Capacity 101,915
Elevation 899 ft
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 23.3°F
Wind speed 3.8 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for New Mexico State vs Tennessee?

New Mexico State: Key Factors

Tennessee: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 1,329 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

New Mexico State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Tennessee won by 33 in a dominant performance.

New Mexico State covered the spread.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Neyland Stadium?

At 23.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do New Mexico State and Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tennessee (19.9) over New Mexico State (-15.3) by 35.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Tennessee brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico State and Tennessee?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Tennessee won and New Mexico State covered the spread.