Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
4-5
Big 12
Power Rank: 6.2
9 FINAL 48
9-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 24.5
Texas Tech covered by 15.5 | Game went Over by 9.5

Texas Tech defeated UCF 48–9 in a dominant performance. Texas Tech covered the spread; the game went Over.

UCF @ Texas Tech Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium
Capacity: 60,229
Elevation: 3228 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas Tech -23.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Expected Score UCF 12.0 - 35.5 TTU
Power Rank Implied Line Texas Tech +18.3
Prediction Markets Texas Tech 94% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

47.2°F

Wind Chill: 42.8°F
Wind: 9.4 mph SSW
Gusts: 19.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UCF (Away)

This Week: 1270.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10814.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 8

Texas Tech (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4546.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Texas Tech +18.3
Implied value
Betting
Current line Texas Tech -23.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
UCF 6.2
Texas Tech 24.5
Travel impact
Away travel 1271 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest UCF +1
Home field — Jones AT&T Stadium
Capacity 60,229
Elevation 3228 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 47.2°F
Wind speed 9.4 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for UCF vs Texas Tech?

UCF: Key Factors

Texas Tech: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UCF travels 1,271 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UCF arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Texas Tech won by 39 in a dominant performance.

Texas Tech covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 9.5 points.

How do UCF and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas Tech (24.5) over UCF (6.2) by 18.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.