Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-4
CUSA
Power Rank: -11.6
23 FINAL 26
1-8
CUSA
Power Rank: -18.4
Sam Houston covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 1.5

Sam Houston defeated Delaware 26–23 in a nail-biter. Sam Houston covered the spread; the game went Under. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Delaware 6.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CST
Stadium: BBVA Compass Stadium
Capacity: 20,656
Elevation: 56 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Delaware -3.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score DEL 27.0 - 23.5 SHSU
Power Rank Implied Line Delaware +6.8
Prediction Markets Delaware 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

39.4°F

Wind Chill: 37.1°F
Wind: 3.8 mph SSW
Gusts: 5.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 36%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Delaware (Away)

This Week: 1304.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8281.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

Sam Houston (Home)

This Week: 67.2 miles
Last Week: 3565.3 miles
Season Total: 14911.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Sam Houston -6.8
Implied value
Betting
Current line Delaware -3.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Delaware -11.6
Sam Houston -18.4
Travel impact
Away travel 1304 mi
Home travel 67 mi
Rest Delaware +1
Home field — BBVA Compass Stadium
Capacity 20,656
Elevation 56 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 39.4°F
Wind speed 3.8 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Delaware vs Sam Houston?

Delaware: Key Factors

Sam Houston: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Delaware travels 1,304 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Delaware arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Sam Houston won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Sam Houston covered the spread.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do Delaware and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Delaware (-11.6) over Sam Houston (-18.4) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Sam Houston won and Sam Houston covered the spread.