Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
3-6
Big Ten
Power Rank: 4.9
10 FINAL 48
9-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 32.4
Ohio State covered by 6.5 | Game went Over by 9.5

Ohio State defeated UCLA 48–10 in a dominant performance. Ohio State covered the spread; the game went Over.

UCLA @ Ohio State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: Ohio Stadium
Capacity: 102,780
Elevation: 719 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ohio State -31.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score UCLA 8.5 - 40.0 OSU
Power Rank Implied Line Ohio State +27.5
Prediction Markets Ohio State 98% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

11.0°F

Wind Chill: 2.8°F
Wind: 4.7 mph WSW
Gusts: 9.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UCLA (Away)

This Week: 1969.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13275.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 8

Ohio State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 416.7 miles
Season Total: 5775.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Ohio State +27.5
Implied value
Betting
Current line Ohio State -31.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
UCLA 4.9
Ohio State 32.4
Travel impact
Away travel 1970 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Ohio Stadium
Capacity 102,780
Elevation 719 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 11.0°F
Wind speed 4.7 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for UCLA vs Ohio State?

UCLA: Key Factors

Ohio State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UCLA travels 1,970 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

UCLA arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

Ohio State won by 38 in a dominant performance.

Ohio State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 9.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Ohio Stadium?

At 11.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 81%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do UCLA and Ohio State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio State (32.4) over UCLA (4.9) by 27.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio State won and Ohio State covered the spread.