Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-4
MW
Power Rank: -4.6
26 FINAL 29
7-2
MW
Power Rank: -3.2
Utah State covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 15.5

UNLV defeated Utah State 29–26 in a nail-biter. Utah State covered the spread; the game went Under.

Utah State @ UNLV Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM PST
Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Elevation: 2192 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UNLV -5.5
Total (O/U) 70.5
Expected Score USU 32.5 - 38.0 UNLV
Power Rank Implied Line UNLV +1.4
Prediction Markets UNLV 68% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah State (Away)

This Week: 430.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 12633.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 7

UNLV (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1257.9 miles
Season Total: 9372.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line UNLV +1.4
Implied value
Betting
Current line UNLV -5.5
Total (O/U) 70.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Utah State -4.6
UNLV -3.2
Travel impact
Away travel 431 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest UNLV +1
Home field — Allegiant Stadium
Capacity 65,000
Elevation 2192 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 52.5°F
Wind speed 1.6 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Utah State vs UNLV?

Utah State: Key Factors

UNLV: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 431 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Utah State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

UNLV won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Utah State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do Utah State and UNLV compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UNLV (-3.2) over Utah State (-4.6) by 1.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UNLV brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UNLV won and Utah State covered the spread.