Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
8-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 21.9
27 FINAL 42
9-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 29.4
Oregon covered by 5.5 | Game went Over by 8.5

Oregon defeated USC 42–27 in a double-digit victory. Oregon covered the spread; the game went Over.

USC @ Oregon Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:30 PM PST
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Capacity: 54,000
Elevation: 443 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon -9.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score USC 25.5 - 35.0 ORE
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon +7.5
Prediction Markets Oregon 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

42.9°F

Wind Chill: 42.9°F
Wind: 0.9 mph E
Gusts: 1.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

USC (Away)

This Week: 738.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13881.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 7

Oregon (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 16786.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Oregon +7.5
Implied value
Betting
Current line Oregon -9.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
USC 21.9
Oregon 29.4
Travel impact
Away travel 739 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Autzen Stadium
Capacity 54,000
Elevation 443 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 42.9°F
Wind speed 0.9 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for USC vs Oregon?

USC: Key Factors

Oregon: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

USC travels 739 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Oregon won by 15 in a double-digit victory.

Oregon covered the spread.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

How do USC and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (29.4) over USC (21.9) by 7.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Oregon won and Oregon covered the spread.