Week 14 • November 28, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
3-8
MW
Power Rank: -6.1
42 FINAL 21
2-9
MW
Power Rank: -7.1
Air Force covered by 19.5 | Game went Over by 18.5

Air Force defeated Colorado State 42–21 to secure a comfortable win. Air Force covered the spread; the game went Over.

Air Force @ Colorado State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Canvas Stadium
Capacity: 41,000
Elevation: 5010 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Air Force -1.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Expected Score AF 23.0 - 21.5 CSU
Power Rank Implied Line Air Force +1.0
Prediction Markets Air Force 57% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

36.9°F

Wind Chill: 36.1°F
Wind: 1.1 mph SW
Gusts: 2.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 39%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Air Force (Away)

This Week: 109.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10665.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 5

Colorado State (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: 1215.3 miles
Season Total: 5784.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 6

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Colorado State -1.0
Implied value
Betting
Current line Air Force -1.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Air Force -6.1
Colorado State -7.1
Travel impact
Away travel 109 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Colorado State +1
Home field — Canvas Stadium
Capacity 41,000
Elevation 5010 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 36.9°F
Wind speed 1.1 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Air Force vs Colorado State?

Air Force: Key Factors

Colorado State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Air Force travels 109 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Air Force won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Air Force covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 18.5 points.

How do Air Force and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Air Force (-6.1) over Colorado State (-7.1) by 1.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Air Force won and Air Force covered the spread.