14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 14 • November 28, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State
10-1
SEC
Power Rank: 25.2
38 FINAL 19
5-6
SEC
Power Rank: 12.3
Ole Miss covered by 23.5 | Game went Under by 5.5

By · Last updated

Ole Miss defeated Mississippi State 38–19 to secure a comfortable win. Ole Miss covered the spread; the game went Under.

Ole Miss @ Mississippi State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity: 60,311
Elevation: 381 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Mississippi State -4.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score MISS 29.0 - 33.5 MSST
Power Rank Implied Line Ole Miss +12.9
Prediction Markets Ole Miss 74% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

38.7°F

Wind Chill: 33.5°F
Wind: 8.1 mph WSW
Gusts: 13.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 57%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Ole Miss (Away)

This Week: 75.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2597.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 13

Mississippi State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3755.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 13

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Mississippi State -12.9
Implied value —
Betting
Current line Mississippi State -4.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Ole Miss 25.2
Mississippi State 12.3
Travel impact
Away travel 76 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity 60,311
Elevation 381 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 38.7°F
Wind speed 8.1 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Ole Miss vs Mississippi State?

Ole Miss: Key Factors

Mississippi State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Ole Miss travels 76 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ole Miss won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Ole Miss covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Ole Miss and Mississippi State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ole Miss (25.2) over Mississippi State (12.3) by 12.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Mississippi State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Mississippi State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ole Miss and Mississippi State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Ole Miss won and Ole Miss covered the spread.