Week 14 • November 29, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
7-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.0
23 FINAL 45
7-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 16.5
TCU covered by 17.5 | Game went Over by 10.5

TCU defeated Cincinnati 45–23 to secure a comfortable win. TCU covered the spread; the game went Over.

Cincinnati @ TCU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 646 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread TCU -4.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score CIN 26.5 - 31.0 TCU
Power Rank Implied Line TCU +4.5
Prediction Markets TCU 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

50.5°F

Wind Chill: 47.8°F
Wind: 6.7 mph SSW
Gusts: 14.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 45%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Cincinnati (Away)

This Week: 844.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 9095.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

TCU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 476.1 miles
Season Total: 9266.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line TCU +4.5
Implied value
Betting
Current line TCU -4.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Cincinnati 12.0
TCU 16.5
Travel impact
Away travel 845 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 646 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 50.5°F
Wind speed 6.7 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Cincinnati vs TCU?

Cincinnati: Key Factors

TCU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Cincinnati travels 845 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Cincinnati arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

TCU won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

TCU covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 10.5 points.

How do Cincinnati and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour TCU (16.5) over Cincinnati (12.0) by 4.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. TCU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

TCU won and TCU covered the spread.