Week 14 • November 29, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
8-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.8
31 FINAL 24
5-6
Big 12
Power Rank: 14.1
Houston covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 6.5

Houston defeated Baylor 31–24 in a one-score game. Houston covered the spread; the game went Under. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Baylor 4.3 points stronger on a neutral field.

Houston @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -2.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score HOU 29.5 - 32.0 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +4.3
Prediction Markets Baylor 56% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

52.6°F

Wind Chill: 49.8°F
Wind: 8.9 mph SSW
Gusts: 15.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 54%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Houston (Away)

This Week: 164.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8814.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1627.9 miles
Season Total: 4361.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Baylor +4.3
Implied value
Betting
Current line Baylor -2.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Houston 9.8
Baylor 14.1
Travel impact
Away travel 165 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 52.6°F
Wind speed 8.9 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Houston vs Baylor?

Houston: Key Factors

Baylor: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Houston travels 165 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Houston won by 7 in a one-score game.

Houston covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Houston and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (14.1) over Houston (9.8) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Houston won and Houston covered the spread.