Week 14 • November 30, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-6
American
Power Rank: -12.5
3 FINAL 52
8-3
American
Power Rank: 12.6
South Florida covered by 21.5 | Game went Under by 4.5

South Florida defeated Rice 52–3 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered the spread; the game went Under.

Rice @ South Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EST
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -27.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score RICE 16.0 - 43.5 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +25.1
Prediction Markets South Florida 97% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.4°F

Wind Chill: 31.3°F
Wind: 10.5 mph NNE
Gusts: 15.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 40%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Rice (Away)

This Week: 791.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7534.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 8

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 920.4 miles
Season Total: 6420.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line South Florida +25.1
Implied value
Betting
Current line South Florida -27.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Rice -12.5
South Florida 12.6
Travel impact
Away travel 791 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.4°F
Wind speed 10.5 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Rice vs South Florida?

Rice: Key Factors

South Florida: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Rice travels 791 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Rice arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

South Florida won by 49 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

How do Rice and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (12.6) over Rice (-12.5) by 25.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.