Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
1-1
SEC
Power Rank: 11.3
10 FINAL 20
2-0
SEC
Power Rank: 14.5
LSU covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 20.5

LSU defeated Florida 20–10 in a double-digit victory. LSU covered the spread; the game went Under.

Florida @ LSU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity: 23,000
Elevation: 56 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread LSU -6.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score FLA 22.0 - 28.5 LSU
Power Rank Implied Line LSU +3.2
Prediction Markets LSU 68% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.3°F

Wind Chill: 34.2°F
Wind: 5.4 mph SW
Gusts: 11.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 71%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Florida (Away)

This Week: 532.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 532.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 7

LSU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2119.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line LSU +3.2
Implied value
Betting
Current line LSU -6.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Florida 11.3
LSU 14.5
Travel impact
Away travel 532 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity 23,000
Elevation 56 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.3°F
Wind speed 5.4 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Florida vs LSU?

Florida: Key Factors

LSU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Florida travels 532 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Florida arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

LSU won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

LSU covered the spread.

The total went Under by 20.5 points.

How do Florida and LSU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour LSU (14.5) over Florida (11.3) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. LSU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

LSU won and LSU covered the spread.