Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 1.6
27 FINAL 10
2-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 1.6
Maryland covered by 25.5 | Game went Under by 6.5

Maryland defeated Wisconsin 27–10 to secure a comfortable win. Maryland covered the spread; the game went Under.

Maryland @ Wisconsin Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity: 76,057
Elevation: 909 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Wisconsin -8.5
Total (O/U) 43.5
Expected Score MD 17.5 - 26.0 WIS
Power Rank Implied Line Even
Prediction Markets Wisconsin 77% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

20.9°F

Wind Chill: 10.6°F
Wind: 9.4 mph NNW
Gusts: 14.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 86%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 51%

Travel & Rest

Maryland (Away)

This Week: 708.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1498.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Wisconsin (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1375.5 miles
Season Total: 1837.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Wisconsin +0.0
Implied value
Betting
Current line Wisconsin -8.5
Total (O/U) 43.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Maryland 1.6
Wisconsin 1.6
Travel impact
Away travel 709 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity 76,057
Elevation 909 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 20.9°F
Wind speed 9.4 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Maryland vs Wisconsin?

Maryland: Key Factors

Wisconsin: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Maryland travels 709 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Maryland arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Maryland won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Maryland covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Camp Randall Stadium?

At 20.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 84%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Maryland and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Maryland (1.6) and Wisconsin (1.6) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Wisconsin brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Maryland won and Maryland covered the spread.