Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 07:00 PM UTC
0-3
Pac-12
Power Rank: -8.5
7 FINAL 41
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 24.8
Oregon State covered by 1.5 | Game went Under by 8.5

Oregon defeated Oregon State 41–7 in a dominant performance. Oregon State covered the spread; the game went Under.

Oregon State @ Oregon Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM PDT
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Capacity: 54,000
Elevation: 443 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon -35.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Expected Score ORST 10.5 - 46.0 ORE
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon +33.3
Prediction Markets Oregon 99% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

44.4°F

Wind Chill: 44.5°F
Wind: 0.7 mph ENE
Gusts: 1.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Oregon State (Away)

This Week: 36.2 miles
Last Week: 2741.7 miles
Season Total: 3442.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Oregon (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3566.7 miles
Season Total: 4068.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Oregon +33.3
Implied value
Betting
Current line Oregon -35.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Oregon State -8.5
Oregon 24.8
Travel impact
Away travel 36 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Autzen Stadium
Capacity 54,000
Elevation 443 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 44.4°F
Wind speed 0.7 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Oregon State vs Oregon?

Oregon State: Key Factors

Oregon: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Oregon State travels 36 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Oregon won by 34 in a dominant performance.

Oregon State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

How do Oregon State and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (24.8) over Oregon State (-8.5) by 33.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Oregon won and Oregon State covered the spread.