Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
2-2
ACC
Power Rank: 7.2
38 FINAL 3
3-1
ACC
Power Rank: -5.2
Duke covered by 30.5 | Game went Under by 19.5

Duke defeated Syracuse 38–3 in a dominant performance. Duke covered the spread; the game went Under.

Duke @ Syracuse Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: JMA Wireless Dome
Capacity: 42,784
Elevation: 571 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Duke -4.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score DUKE 32.5 - 28.0 SYR
Power Rank Implied Line Duke +12.4
Prediction Markets Duke 63% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: JMA Wireless Dome
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Duke (Away)

This Week: 508.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2289.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Syracuse (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1360.1 miles
Season Total: 2921.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Syracuse -12.4
Implied value
Betting
Current line Duke -4.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Duke 7.2
Syracuse -5.2
Travel impact
Away travel 508 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — JMA Wireless Dome
Capacity 42,784
Elevation 571 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 26.2°F
Wind speed 7.6 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Duke vs Syracuse?

Duke: Key Factors

Syracuse: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Duke travels 508 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Duke won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Duke covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 19.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at JMA Wireless Dome?

At 26.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 76%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Duke and Syracuse compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Duke (7.2) over Syracuse (-5.2) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Syracuse faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Syracuse brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Duke won and Duke covered the spread.