Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 04:45 PM UTC
3-1
MW
Power Rank: -5.4
35 FINAL 55
4-0
SEC
Power Rank: 17.3
Utah State covered by 1.5 | Game went Over by 30.5

Vanderbilt defeated Utah State 55–35 to secure a comfortable win. Utah State covered the spread; the game went Over.

Utah State @ Vanderbilt Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:45 AM CDT
Stadium: FirstBank Stadium
Capacity: 40,350
Elevation: 551 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Vanderbilt -21.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score USU 19.0 - 40.5 VAN
Power Rank Implied Line Vanderbilt +22.7
Prediction Markets Vanderbilt 92% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Cloudy

Cloudy

35.4°F

Wind Chill: 29.7°F
Wind: 7.6 mph SW
Gusts: 11.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 62%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah State (Away)

This Week: 1395.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3702.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:45
Rest Days: 7

Vanderbilt (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1770.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:45
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Vanderbilt +22.7
Implied value
Betting
Current line Vanderbilt -21.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Utah State -5.4
Vanderbilt 17.3
Travel impact
Away travel 1396 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — FirstBank Stadium
Capacity 40,350
Elevation 551 ft
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 35.4°F
Wind speed 7.6 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Utah State vs Vanderbilt?

Utah State: Key Factors

Vanderbilt: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 1,396 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Utah State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Vanderbilt won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Utah State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 30.5 points.

How do Utah State and Vanderbilt compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Vanderbilt (17.3) over Utah State (-5.4) by 22.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Vanderbilt brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Vanderbilt won and Utah State covered the spread.