14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Kansas State @ Baylor
2-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 8.3
34 FINAL 35
3-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.5
Kansas State covered by 5.5 | Game went Over by 6.5

By · Last updated

Baylor defeated Kansas State 35–34 in a nail-biter. Kansas State covered the spread; the game went Over.

Kansas State @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -6.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score KSU 28.0 - 34.5 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +3.2
Prediction Markets Baylor 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

54.7°F

Wind Chill: 51.9°F
Wind: 11.0 mph SW
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 48%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Kansas State (Away)

This Week: 527.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10679.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 629.6 miles
Season Total: 810.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Baylor +3.2
Implied value —
Betting
Current line Baylor -6.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Kansas State 8.3
Baylor 11.5
Travel impact
Away travel 528 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 54.7°F
Wind speed 11.0 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Kansas State vs Baylor?

Kansas State: Key Factors

Baylor: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Kansas State travels 528 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Baylor won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Kansas State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 6.5 points.

How do Kansas State and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (11.5) over Kansas State (8.3) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Kansas State and Baylor?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Baylor won and Kansas State covered the spread.