Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
3-2
ACC
Power Rank: -3.0
18 FINAL 31
2-2
ACC
Power Rank: 9.8
Syracuse covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 9.5

SMU defeated Syracuse 31–18 in a double-digit victory. Syracuse covered the spread; the game went Under.

Syracuse @ SMU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity: 32,000
Elevation: 594 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread SMU -16.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score SYR 21.0 - 37.5 SMU
Power Rank Implied Line SMU +12.8
Prediction Markets SMU 88% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

51.4°F

Wind Chill: 49.4°F
Wind: 5.6 mph SSW
Gusts: 11.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 44%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Syracuse (Away)

This Week: 1323.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4245.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

SMU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3740.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line SMU +12.8
Implied value
Betting
Current line SMU -16.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Syracuse -3.0
SMU 9.8
Travel impact
Away travel 1324 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest SMU +7
Home field — Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity 32,000
Elevation 594 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 51.4°F
Wind speed 5.6 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Syracuse vs SMU?

Syracuse: Key Factors

SMU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Syracuse travels 1,324 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Syracuse arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

SMU won by 13 in a double-digit victory.

Syracuse covered the spread.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do Syracuse and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour SMU (9.8) over Syracuse (-3.0) by 12.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. SMU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

SMU won and Syracuse covered the spread.