Week 7 • October 11, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
4-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 15.9
13 FINAL 31
4-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 21.6
USC covered by 15.5 | Game went Under by 13.5

USC defeated Michigan 31–13 to secure a comfortable win. USC covered the spread; the game went Under.

Michigan @ USC Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity: 77,500
Elevation: 177 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread USC -2.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score MICH 27.5 - 30.0 USC
Power Rank Implied Line USC +5.7
Prediction Markets USC 58% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

57.9°F

Feels Like: 58.1°F
Wind: 3.8 mph SSW
Gusts: 4.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 67%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Michigan (Away)

This Week: 1950.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5075.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 7

USC (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6959.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line USC +5.7
Implied value
Betting
Current line USC -2.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Michigan 15.9
USC 21.6
Travel impact
Away travel 1951 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest USC +7
Home field — Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity 77,500
Elevation 177 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 57.9°F
Wind speed 3.8 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Michigan vs USC?

Michigan: Key Factors

USC: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Michigan travels 1,951 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Michigan arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

USC won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

USC covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Michigan and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (21.6) over Michigan (15.9) by 5.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and USC covered the spread.